Texans Vs Broncos MNF Odds & PickNoah Williams
I had this game circled at the beginning of the year as a must watch game. Since then JJ Watt has hit the IR. Brock Osweiler’s move from Mile High to the Lone Star State has been a bust and the defending Super Bowl champs have lost two in a row.
The Week 7 NFL betting odds favor the Denver Broncos by 9-points to beat the visiting Houston Texans Kick-off is on ESPN this Monday, October 23rd at 8:30 PM ET from the Sports Authority Field at Mile High, in Denver, Colorado.
Houston Texans Vs Denver Broncos MNF Odds & Pick
The Broncos opened as a 7-point home favorite at most online sportsbooks, but with nearly 60% of the public betting on Denver, the line has moved to a 9-point spread. For the MNF moneyline, a bettor would have to wager $100 on the Texans to win $295. A $370 bet on the Indians would pay $100 if they win. The game total has gone from 41 to 40.5 since opening.
What: Houston Texans (4-2) at Denver Broncos (4-2)
When: Monday, October 24, 2016
Start Time: 8:30 PM ET
Where: Denver, CO
Stadium: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Spread: Broncos -9
Moneyline: Texans +295 at Broncos -370
Game Total: 40.5
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Houston vs Denver
Why Bet The Houston Texans To Beat The Broncos
The Houston Texans lead the AFC South after beating the Indianapolis Colts 26-23 last week. They improved to 4-2 SU and 3-21 ATS this season. They average 18.0 points per game (30th) and allow 21.2 points (12th).
QB Brock Osweiler (1402 yards, 8 TDs & 8 INTs) will return to Denver for the first time since he jumped on a $72 million deal with the Texans this past offseason. Osweiler spent four seasons with the Broncos mostly as Peyton Manning’s backup. Last season he was thrown in as the starter with the elder Manning dealing with neck issues. Osweiler played eight games in 2015, recording 1967 yards, ten touchdowns, and six interceptions. Houston averages 216.5 passing yards per game (30th).
"The White House was pretty simple — we had an OTA that Monday, you know, as we’ve talked in the past," Osweiler said about not visiting the White House with the Broncos in the offseason. "Learning a new offense, a new system, you know, like we went through in 2015 in Denver. It takes a lot of time, a lot of repetitions. You can even multiply that when you’re trying to learn a new system and new teammates and build chemistry.
Brock Osweiler has failed to get the ball to stud WR DeAndre Hopkins (31 rec, 354 yards, 3 TDs). Hopkins is the number one threat against the Broncos. Rookie WR Will Fuller (20 rec, 327 yards, 2 TDs) came out of the gate strong, but since has stumbled. The Texans average 111.2 rushing yards per game (10th). RB Lamar Miller (125 car, 520 yards, 1 TD) finally found the end zone this season for his first score of the season. He ran for 149 yards and one touchdown against the Colts. It was his best game of the season.
Houston has the 11th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 189.0 passing yards per game (2nd) and 126.3 rushing yards per game (29th). The Texans have recorded 16 sacks this season (6th). Benardrick McKinney has 60 tackles and Whitney Mercilus 4.5 sacks.
Why Bet The Denver Broncos To Beat The Texans
The Denver Broncos have dropped two in a row and are currently 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS. Last week, they failed fell to the San Diego Chargers on Thursday Night Football by a 21-13 score. The Broncos average 23.6 points per game (16th) and allow 18.0 points per game (8th).
QB Trevor Siemian (1054 yards, 7 TDs & 3 INTs) was a no-show against San Diego. He completed 30 of 50 yards for 230 yards and one touchdown. The 50 passes attempted are the most he has ever thrown.
The WR duo of Demaryius Thomas (31 rec, 416 yards, 3 TD) and Emmanuel Sanders (36 rec, 413 yards, 3 TD) has been mostly ineffective this season. Siemian is a big downgrade in QB from Manning or Osweiler. The Broncos average 98.5 rushing yards per game (19th). Starting RB C.J. Anderson (94 car, 330 yards, 3 TD) has struggled this season. He has averaged 41.0 rushing yards per game in the last four weeks.
Denver has the 8th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 182.0 passing yards per game (1st) and 112.7 rushing yards per game (22nd). They lead the NFL with 21 sacks this season. T.J. Ward has 34 tackles and Von Miller 7.5 sacks.
Betting Trends For This Matchup:
- Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
- Houston is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
- Denver is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
- Denver is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
- Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
- Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
The Broncos defense is angry. They will get a chance to correct the mistakes of the past two games. Furthermore, Osweiler will be in for a long night with Denver going the extra mile to welcome back the once the Broncos’ quarterback of the future.
My final score prediction is Houston 10, Denver 24.