Texans Vs Patriots Line, Pick & TV InfoNoah Williams
According to the Las Vegas NFL oddsmakers, the Houston Texans have absolutely no chance of beating the New England Patriots this week. The NFL AFC Divisional Round playoff betting line favors the Patriots by 16-points.
Kick-off is this Saturday, January 14th at 8:15 PM ET on CBS from Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts.
Houston Texans Vs New England Patriots Spread & ATS Pick
Everyone expected the Patriots to be heavy favorites based on how well they’ve played and covered the NFL betting spreads this season. It also looks justified in some ways when you consider they routed the Texans 27-0 in Week 3 — and that was with rookie Jacoby Brissett.
Houston has never won at Foxborough, has beaten the Patriots just once, and has lost the last two games to the Patriots by a combined score of 54-6. The Texans are still a playoff team with the No. 1 defense in the league that really came together in the second half of the season.
What: Houston Texans (9-7) at New England Patriots (14-2)
When: Saturday, January 14, 2017
Start Time: 8:15 PM ET
Where: Foxboro, MA
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Spread: Patriots -16
Moneyline: Houston +850 vs New England -13000
Game Total: 45
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Houston vs New England
Why Bet The Houston Texans To Beat The Patriots
The Houston Texans took advantage of an injured Oakland Raiders beating them 27-14 last week. They are 10-7 SU and 7-9-1 ATS this season including the playoffs. They average 17.3 points per game (29th) and allow 20.5 points per game (11th).
The Texans average 198.5 passing yards per game (29th). QB Brock Osweiler (2957 yards, 15 TDs & 16 INTs) was good enough against the Raiders. He completed 14 of 25 passes for 168 yards and one touchdown. WR DeAndre Hopkins (78 rec, 954 yards, 4 TDs) caught five balls for 67 yards and the only touchdown. Houston averages 116.2 rushing yards per game (8th). RB Lamar Miller (268 car, 1073 yards, 5 TDs) carried the ball 31 times for 73 yards and one touchdown against Oakland. He averaged a pitiful 2.4 rushing yards per carry.
Houston has the best total defense in the NFL. The Texans allow 202.0 passing yards per game (2nd) and 99.7 rushing yards (12th). They recorded 31 sacks in the regular season (24th). They sacked Raiders QB Connor Cook three times last weekend. LB Benardrick McKinney had 129 tackles in the regular season, and LB Whitney Mercilus had 7.5 sacks.
"We’ve been doing it all season as a defense," Jadeveon Clowney said. "We’ll just continue to play as a unit."
Why Bet The New England Patriots To Beat The Texans
The New England Patriots have the easiest path to the Super Bowl after sitting out last week and being 16-point favorites this week against the lowly Texans. They are 14-2 SU and 13-3 ATS this season. The Pats are only the fourth team in history to be favored by 16-points or more in a playoffs game. They average 27.4 points per game (3rd) and give up 15.6 points per game (1st).
The Patriots average 269.3 passing yards per game (4th). QB Tom Brady (3554, 28 TDs & 2 NTs) won his only playoff game against Houston in 2012. He completed 25 of 40 passes for 344 yards and three touchdowns in that 41-28 win.
"They have a damn good defense," Brady said. "There is nothing easy about this game for our offense. We’re going to have to go grind it out. We have to go get our mind right, and we will. We had a good week of practice last week, and we need to carry it over into today — and all the way through Saturday night."
WR Julian Edelman (98 rec, 1106 yards, 3 TDs) led the team in receiving yards after TE Rob Gronkowski was shut down for the season. TE Martellus Bennett (55 rec, 701 yards, 7 TDs) leads the team in touchdowns. New England averages 117.0 rushing yards per game (7th). RB LeGarrette Blount (299 car, 1161 yards, 18 TDs) had a career year. He broke the franchise rushing touchdown record.
New England has the 8th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They give up 238.0 passing yards per game (12th) and 88.6 rushing yards (3rd). The Patriots have recorded 34 sacks this season (16th). CB Logan Ryan has 92 tackles, and DL Trey Flowers has 7.0 sacks.
If You Still Can’t Decide Who To Bet On:
- Houston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
- Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New England
- Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
- New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
The Patriots have been a widely popular public betting team for over a decade and this game is no different. It’s rare to see a two-touchdown favorite in the playoffs. Normally with a spread so large, I would recommend betting on the underdog. But do the Texans have a shot at keeping this game close?
The Patriots were a league-best 13-3 ATS this season, including 4-0 ATS as double-digit favorites.
Early wiseguys weren’t scared off by the high spread either when the game opened at -15.5 in favor of the Pats, but there was some resistance when the line hit 16 and it was sharp money driving the line down to 15.5 again.
My final score prediction is Houston 13, New England 31.