The Miami Dolphins and the Tennessee Titans hit the gridiron on Sunday in a week 5 NFL matchup of 1-win teams.The Week 5 NFL betting odds favor the Dolphins by 3.5-points. Kick-off is scheduled for this Sunday, October 9th at 1:00 PM ET on CBS from the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida.
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) October 7, 2016
How To Bet The Tennessee Titans Vs Miami Dolphins NFL Week 5 Odds
What: Tennessee Titans (1-3) at Miami Dolphins (1-3)
When: Sunday, October 9, 2016
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Miami, FL
Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Spread: Dolphins -3.5
Moneyline: Tennessee +158 vs Miami -180
Game Total: 43.5
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Tennessee vs Miami
Why Bet The Tennessee Titans To Beat The Dolphins
After dropping a close AFC South battle against the Texans, the Titans fell to 1-3 SU and ATS. Their 17-10 defeat prevented them from their first W against an AFC South opponent of the season. The Titans average 15.5 points per game (31st) and allow 21.0 points (15th) after four weeks.
“It’s no time to panic. We’re fine. We know what we’re doing wrong. We’ve got to consistently just do the right thing. We’ve got to watch the film and learn from it. But nobody is freaking out, nobody’s going under the table and just caving in. We’ve got to just continue to get better", RB DeMarco Murray said after losing to Houston.
The Titans average 221.0 passing yards per game (26th). Sophomore QB Marcus Mariota (925 yards, 4 TDs & 5 INTs) hasn’t taken the second year leap yet. The last two games saw him complete fewer than 52% of his passes with zero touchdowns and three interceptions.
WR Rishard Matthews (12 rec, 180 yards, 0 TDs) leads this Titans under-talented receiving corps. There was a lot of pre-season buzz around rookie WR Tajae Sharpe (16 rec, 172 yards, 0 TDs) but he has failed to pop when it matters.
Tennessee has the 4th best-running offense in the NFL, averaging 127.0 rushing yards per game. RB DeMarco Murray has found new life in Nashville after floundering in the City of Brotherly Love last season. He averages 5.2 yards per carry and has scored five touchdowns total TDs.
The Titans total defense is ranked 14th in the NFL. They allow 241.0 passing yards per game (14th) and 110.0 rushing yards per game (20th). Tennessee has sacked opposing quarterbacks six times this season (24th).
Why Bet The Miami Dolphins To Beat The Titans
Miami had ten days to prepare for this meeting after losing 22-7 to the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday Night Football. The Dolphins are now 1-3 SU and ATS. Their offensive line is an issue. They allowed five sacks on QB Ryan Tannehill in Cincinnati. As a team, Miami averages 17.8 points per game (28th) and allow 22.3 points (16th).
“Not a lot worked,” QB Ryan Tannehill said after losing to the Bengals. “We really didn’t do anything well. It was one of our worst performances from our offense in a long time. … No consistency. No execution. Too many mistakes. We have to get it fixed soon
Miami averages 252.0 passing yards per game (16th). QB Ryan Tannehill (1081 yards, 6 TDs & 5 INTs) has been sacked 11 times this season. He has failed to live up to the franchise QB status his contract gives him.
WRs Jarvis Landry (31 rec, 375 yards, 1 TDs) and Kenny Stills (9 rec, 205 yards, 2 TDs) have put together good individual numbers. However, most of their yards have come in garbage time.
The Dolphins average 77.8 rushing yards per game (29th). With rusher Arian Foster hurt again, RB Jay Ajayi (18 car, 75 yards, 1 TD) is the leading rusher on the team. None of the seven players that have run the ball has reached the 100-rushing yards.
The Dolphins have the 28th total defense in the NFL. They give up 272.0 passing yards per game (23rd) and 129.8 rushing yards. Their pass rush has sacked quarterbacks ten times in four games.
Betting Trends for this Matchup:
- Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
- Tennessee is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
- Miami is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
- Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tennessee’s last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
Both teams are flawed. But I’ll take the Titans and the points. The Dolphins defense is a joke.
My final score prediction is Tennessee 21, Miami 23.