Top NFL Week 6 Must Bet Upset PicksJosh Bailey
Any given Sunday in NFL betting there are a handful of games that are must bet upset picks and here are mine for week 6 of the 2014 season. Let’s not waste anytime and jump straight into my picks.
Pittsburgh at Cleveland
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Spread: Cleveland -2
The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) and Cleveland Browns have both alternated SU wins and losses since the start of the season and enter this contest looking to build some consistency as they move closer to the midway point of the 2014 season.
Cleveland (2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) is coming off a huge, 29-28 comeback win over Tennessee in Week 5 as a 1-point favorite while Pittsburgh picked up a solid 17-9 win over lowly Jacksonville the last time out.
Joe Haden misses second straight practice http://t.co/6H443XAtBI
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) October 9, 2014
The Steelers put the clamps on first-year quarterback Blake Bortles by picking off the rookie twice in the win while the Browns got three TD passes from quarterback Brian Hoyer to lead them to victory.
While the Cleveland Browns are favored and playing at home in this Week 6 AFC North divisional battle, I really the Steelers to get the outright road win against Cleveland.
Pittsburgh has won four straight and eight of the last nine meetings in this series while going 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
I know the Browns are in the midst of changing their culture and I believe they are doing a more than credible job so far. However, Cleveland is also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games against their AFC North division rivals.
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) October 8, 2014
I’m not totally impressed with Ben Roethlisberger and company this season as something just seems to be missing from the Steelers, but I do like them to record consecutive wins for the first time this season to cash in as a slight road dog.
My Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +2 Points
Detroit at Minnesota
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Spread: Detroit -3
The Detroit Lions and the Minnesota Vikings are both looking to bounce back from their respective Week 5 losses – and seeing as how the Vikes expect to have gifted rookie signal-caller Teddy Bridgewater back under center after missing Sunday’s 42-10 loss to Green Bay, I believe the Vikes has a great shot to pull off the upset.
Detroit (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) fell completely apart in the second half of their 17-14 Week 5 home loss to Buffalo, so it’s not like the Lions are unbeatable powerhouses.
Besides, Bridgewater was absolutely phenomenal in leading Minnesota to a surprising – but emphatic – 41-28 win over Atlanta in Week 4 and I think the underrated signal-caller could do the same in this contest.
The former Louisville star completed just 19 of 30 passes, but he did rack up 317 passing yards while running the ball five times for 27 yards and a touchdown.
More importantly, Bridgewater’s ability to run the ball and extend plays gave the Vikings a dimension they just don’t have under former starter Matt Cassel or third-string backup Christian Ponder.
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) October 9, 2014
The Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against a team with a winning road record and 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and a dismal 0-3-2 ATS in their last five road games against the Vikings.
If Megatron sits, I say backing Teddy Bridgewater and the Vikings looks like a smart play people!
My Pick: Minnesota Vikings +3 Points
New York Giants at Philadelphia
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Spread: Philadelphia -3
The New York Giants are playing their best football of the season and enter this Week 6 NFC East divisional battle riding a three-game winning streak.
The Philadelphia Eagles will look to bounce back from a dismal performance the last time out, making this early-season showdown fairly meaningful in the race for division supremacy.
New York (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) looked very good in its 30-20 Week 5 win over Atlanta as a 4-point home favorite behind Eli Manning’s two touchdown passes and a sound defense that only gave up seven second half points to the Falcons.
— New York Giants (@Giants) October 9, 2014
Philadelphia (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS) picked 34-28 win over struggling St. Louis in Week 5 but nearly blew their victory by getting outscored 14-0 in the fourth quarter. The Eagles gave up three touchdown passes to Rams signal-caller Austin Davis and failed to run out the clock late in the fourth quarter when they had a chance to ice the game.
The Giants are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games against the Eagles while the road team in this NFC East rivalry has gone 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings overall.
New York is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against their NFC conference rivals while Philadelphia has gone 3-11-1 ATS in their L/14 games against a team with a winning record.
The G-Men look like a good upset pick with the points!
My Pick: Giants +3 Points