NFL Week 13 Upset Picks

NFL Week 13 Upset Picks

NFL Week 13 Upset Picks

With the NFL playoff picture clearing up and getting murky at the same time, competitive games in NFL Week 13 are prime for against the spread upset picks. Let’s get started.

NFL Week 13 Upset Picks

Will Kansas City continue their winning ways versus Atlanta in the Georgia Dome? What’s going to happen when Miami travels to Maryland to battle Baltimore? Is San Francisco ready to add another win to their terrible record?

Kansas City at Atlanta
When:  Sunday, Dec. 4 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
TV: CBS
Odds: Kansas City +4

Analysis: The Chiefs beat Denver 30 to 27 in overtime in Sunday Night’s NFL Week 12 Game. Kansas City played well. The key for the Chiefs will be how DE Justin Houston fairs against QB Matt Ryan. If Houston and the defensive line can pressure Ryan, the Chiefs have a shot to upset Atlanta straight up.

I am betting against that happeneing. The Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta’s opponent in Week 12, dropped a ton of passes. The Falcons’ defense isn’t that great. It’s going to have issues dealing with Chiefs TE Travis Kelce and WR/RB Tyreke Hill. My money is on Kansas City to win this game on the moneyline.

Week 13 Upset Pick: Kansas City  

Miami at Baltimore
When:  Sunday, Dec. 4 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium
TV: CBS
Odds: Miami +3.5

Analysis: I’m not a huge fan of the Baltimore Ravens. I do think that they have a very good defense. But the offense, for some strange reason, has trouble scoring points.

I like the hot Miami Dolphins in this game. The Dolphins have won 6 in a row. All 6 wins have been impressive. Miami had to outscore San Francisco 31 to 24 in Week 12. In Week 11, they had to beat the Rams in a defensive game, 13 to 10.

The Fins have also beaten Pittsburgh, Buffalo, San Diego and the New York Jets during the streak. This is another game where I’m willing to forego the spread and bet the dog on the moneyline. I think that Miami wins their seventh straight in Week 13 versus Baltimore on Sunday. 

Week 13 Upset Pick: Miami +3.5

San Francisco at Chicago
When:  Sunday, Dec. 4 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
TV: FOX
Odds: San Francisco +2.5

Analysis: The Chicago Bears have lost 3 games in a row after beating the Minnesota Vikings on Halloween Night. All 3 losses have occurred after Chicago’s bye. Unfortunately for the Bears, they face a team on Sunday that is due for a win.

Make no mistake, San Francisco could lose this game by 10 points. That’s how bad the 49’ers have been in 2016. But my gut tells me that the Niners take the momentum they’ve gained from their last 2 battles, both losses against better teams, into this match up versus a Chicago squad that isn’t all that more talented than they are.

The Bears shouldn’t be favored over any team in the NFL. Yes, Chicago shouldn’t even be favored over the 1 win San Francisco 49’ers. I like SF to win this game straight up on the moneyline.

Week 13 Upset Pick: San Franisco