Upset Picks NFL Week 6 – Betting The UnderdogsJosh Bailey
If you’re looking for upset betting value as Week 6 of the 2017 NFL regular season approaches, then look no further.
Can Carson Palmer and the Arizona Cardinals rebound from their emphatic spanking at the hands of Philadelphia this past weekend?
Can the Los Angeles Rams take down a Jacksonville Jaguars team that completely embarrassed the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday?
Last but not least, can Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints hold off Matthew Stafford and a Detroit Lions team that has looked really solid since the start of the 2017 regular season?
Upset Picks NFL Week 6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) at Arizona Cardinals (2-3)
When: Sunday, October 15, 2017 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Arizona
NFL Odds: Arizona +2.5
Analysis: I know Carson Palmer and the Arizona Cardinals looked completely inept in their stunning 34-7 road loss at Philadelphia this past weekend, but I picked the Cards to really challenge for a playoff berth this season and I just don’t believe they’re quite as bad as they looked in their Week 6 loss to Philly.
Tampa Bay may be 2-2 on the season, but their pair of wins came against Chicago and a winless New York Giants team, so that really isn’t saying very much if you ask me. I do like the direction that Tampa Bay is heading in under quarterback Jameis Winston, but I like Arizona to get the ‘upset’ win as a home underdog in this Week 7 NFC battle.
The Bucs are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings against Arizona and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. If nothing else, I like the Cardinals to get the win and ATS cover out of sheer desperation against a Tampa Bay team that hasn’t exactly had the look of a team that is going places this season.
Bet the Cards to upset the Bucs in Week 6.
Upset Pick Week 6: Arizona +2.5
Los Angeles Rams (3-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2)
When: Sunday, October 15, 2017 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
NFL Odds: L.A. Rams +2.5
Analysis: The Jacksonville Jaguars absolutely embarrassed the Pittsburgh Steelers and made veteran quarterback Ben Roethlisberger look like a clueless rookie in their shocking 30-9 blowout road win this past weekend. Now the question is can the Jags win two in a row or will the high-scoring Rams come out victorious?
I like the way the Los Angeles Rams have gone about putting points on the board despite getting shut down by Seattle in their humbling 16-10 Week 5 loss on Sunday. I’m betting the Rams to upset the Jags because of their ability to put points on the board and I just don’t believe that Jacksonville, when forced to play catch-up, will be able to pull off the home win if uninspiring quarterback Blake Bortles is forced to pass the ball.
The Jags have alternated SU wins and losses all season which means they’re due for another defeat this weekend while L.A. is due to put some points on the board like they have in topping the 35-point plateau in three of their five games this season. The Rams are a blistering 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 Week 6 games while the Jags have gone 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
The Rams are a top upset pick for Week 6 betting action.
Upset Pick Week 6: Los Angeles +2.5
Detroit Lions (3-2) at New Orleans Saints (2-2)
When: Sunday, October 15, 2017 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
NFL Odds: Detroit +4
Analysis: Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints may be playing at home in this Week 7 matchup, but for me, Matthew Stafford and the Detroit Lions are the pick to get the outright upset road win seeing as how they’ve been ‘super competitive’ all season long, even in dropping their second game of the season this past weekend.
Sure, New Orleans will be well-rested after getting a bye in Week 5 while Detroit looks to rebound from a heartbreaking 27-24 loss at home against Carolina, but the Lions look like the more complete team on both sides of the ball and that’s why I like them to rebound against a Saints team that just isn’t very scary as far as their defense is concerned.
The Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 6 and a robust 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after rushing for less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Conversely, the Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an SU win of more than 14 points and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. I very rarely go against Drew Brees and the saints at home, but I am in this Week 6 matchup.
Upset Pick Week 6: Detroit +4