The still unbeaten Carolina Panthers will host the suddenly fun-to-watch Washington Redskins this Sunday at 1:00 PM ET on FOX from the Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. The NFL week 11 odds favor the Panthers by 7.5-points to beat Washington. Let’s find out which side you should back.
A Closer Look At The Washington at Carolina Panthers NFL Week 11 Odds & My Betting Analysis
What: Washington (4-5) at Carolina (9-0)
When: Sunday, November 22, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Charlotte, NC
Stadium: Bank of America Stadium
Weather: 59° F | Scattered Cloud
Spread: Panthers -7.5
Moneyline: Washington +255 vs Carolina -310
Game Total: 45
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Washington vs Carolina
Why Bet On The Washington Redskins Odds At +7.5
Washington is 4-5 straight up and against the spread so far this season. They average 22.8 points (17th), 244.8 passing yards (19th) and 104.8 rushing yards (17th) per game. Last week they beat the Saints so bad they fired their defensive co-ordinator. The final score was 47-14.
QB Kirk Cousins (2278 yards, 14 TDs & 9 INTs) completed 20 of 25 throws for 324 yards and a career-high four touchdowns for a perfect 158.3 passer rating, the only one in the NFL this season.
"I’m getting better as a quarterback," said Cousins after the win. "When you’re in the zone and things are going really well, you’re just playing and your mind is free and you’re not allowing things to inhibit your play."
WR Pierre Garcon (43 rec, 430 yards, 3 TDs) and Jamison Crowder (42 rec, 402 yards 1 TD) have been inconsistant for Cousins. DeSean Jackson has returned from a strained hamstring that kept him out for most of the season. He has been un-effective. That has left the door open for TE Jordan Reed (41 rec, 397 yards, 6 TDs) to take lead as the top target in he red-zone.
The ususally consistant RB Alfred Morris (110 att, 404 yards, 0 TDs) has under performed all season. He is averaging 3.7 yards per carry. Rookie rusher Matt Jones (85 att, 332 yards, 3 TDs) has shown flashes of skills that could make him a starting back, but untimely turnovers have limited his success. He averages 3.9 yards per carry.
Washington’s defense allows 23.2 points (16th), 235.0 passing yards (12th), and 135.3 rushing yards (30th) per game. Dashon Goldson has 71 tackles, Chris Baker has four sacks and Bashaud Breeland has eight passes deflected.
Why Bet On The Carolina Panthers Odds At -7.5
The Carolina Panthers are 9-0 straight up and 7-2 against the spread so far this season. They average 28.3 points (3rd), 213.0 passing yards (28th), and 139.7 rushing yards (3rd) per game. Last week, they took down the Tennessee Titans by a 27-10 score. The Panthers have won 13 consecutive regular-season games and scored 27 or more points in seven straight. They have a two-game advantage over the Cardinals and Vikings for the NFC’s best record.
QB Cam Newton (2037 yards, 15 TDs & 9 INTs) is dancing his way to an MVP season. In his fifth season, opposing defenses now have to prepare for him as a passer, runner and — as everyone has seen throughout his career — a dancer.
Face it, this is Cam’s world and we’re just living in it.
Newton completed his first 11 passes and finished 21 of 26 for 217 yards and a touchdown against the Titans, one week after compiling 297 yards and three TD passes in a 37-29 home win over Green Bay. He also ran for a touchdown in both contests and now has 30 career games with both a passing and rushing score, one shy of matching Steve Young’s NFL record.
“It was 81 percent? Well, again, he continues to work with the receivers,” Panthers coach Ron Rivera said about Netwon’s completion rate vs the Titans. “It’s all the extra work that they’re putting in as a group, as a unit, as individuals. When you watch them in practice and something happens, as soon as we go to the defensive side, him and whoever he had trouble with, they’ll go to the other field and they’ll run that route until they get it right. So, I just think that they’re putting in a lot of extra work to give themselves a chance to get better.”
Imagine how good this team would be if they had not lost WR Kelvin Benjamin in the preseason to a season ending knee injury. In his stead, TE Greg Olsen (45 rec, 664 yards, 5 TDs) has taken the reigns as the top ball catcher with eight balls for 80 yards last week.
RB Jonathan Stewart (169 att, 662 yards, 4 TDs) ran for 91 yards and a score on 22 carries last week. He has rushed for 100+ yards just once this season.
Carolina’s defense allows 19.4 points (6th), 235.0 passing yards (11th) and 103.4 rushing yards (14th) per game. Thomas Davis has 65 tackles, Kawann Short has six sacks, and Josh Norman has 14 passes deflected and four interceptions. They have held opposing quarterbacks to a league-low 69.1 passer rating and is tied for the NFL lead with 14 interceptions, supporting a ball-control offense netting 139.7 rushing yards per game on a league-high 303 attempts.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Washington Redskins 1-3 On Road this season
- Washington Redskins 4-8 On Road since last season
- Washington Redskins 1-2 As Underdog or PK past month
- Carolina Panthers 5-2 As Favorite this season
- Washington Redskins 2-4 When Line was 43.5 to 46.5 since last season
- Carolina Panthers 1-0 When Line was 43.5 to 46.5 since last season
- Washington Redskins 1-3 As Road Underdog this season
- Carolina Panthers 3-1-1 O-U At Home this season
- Carolina Panthers 2-1 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 this season
- Carolina Panthers 2-1 O-U When Line was 43.5 to 46.5 this season
- Carolina Panthers 4-3 O-U When Line was 43.5 to 46.5 since last season
- Carolina Panthers 3-1 O-U vs Teams Averaging 21 to 25 PPG this season
- Carolina Panthers 7-2 O-U vs Teams Averaging 21 to 25 PPG since last season
Washington is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in November, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
The Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite, the 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 11, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
My NFL Week 11 Betting Pick: Carolina 7.5
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
- Washington: N/A
- Carolina: Charles Johnson, Richie Brockel.