Washington Redskins V Philadelphia Eagles Spread & ATS Pick

Washington Redskins V Philadelphia Eagles Spread & ATS Pick

The NFL schedule-makers and the sports gods have blessed the football faithful with a doozy of a day-after Christmas tilt with long-ranging playoff implications.

For the third consecutive year, the Philadelphia Eagles are playing a December game with the NFC East title and a playoff spot on the line. The previous two seasons their nemesis were the Cowboys.  Saturday’s game against the Washington Redskins will decide who wins the division and gets to host a wild-card playoff game in two weeks.

A Closer Look At How To Bet The Washington Redskins V Philadelphia Eagles NFL Week 16 Spread & ATS Pick

The NFL Week 16 betting spread favor Philadelphia by 3-points to beat Washington.  If you are betting the game straight up the Redskins are paying 155 on 100 while the Eagles are paying 100 on 175. The game total is 48.5 points for your over/under bets.

Washington leads the season series 1-0 after defeating the Eagles 23-20 back in October. The game kicks off on the NFL Network this Saturday, December 26th at 8:25 PM ET from Lincoln Financial Field. 

What: Washington (7-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (6-8)
When: Saturday, December 26, 2015
Kickoff: 8:25 PM ET 
Where: Philadelphia, PA
Stadium: Lincoln Financial Field
Spread: Eagles -3
Moneyline: Washington +155 vs Philadelphia -175
Game Total: 48.5
Watch: NFL
Stream: NFL Network
Listen: Washington vs Philadelphia

Why Bet Washington Redskins Spread At +3 Over the Eagles

Washington is 7-7 straight up and against the spread this season. They average 22.6 points (16th), 2446.6 passing yards (15th), and 96.6 rushing yards (20th) per game. Last week, they beat the Bills by a 35-25 score.

The victory pushed the Redskins win streak to two, which is the first time QB Kirk Cousins (3625 yards, 22 TDs & 11 INTs) has won back-to-back games. Versus the Bills, he equaled his career high with four touchdown passes and ran 13 yards for another score.

Cousins plays well at home where he has thrown 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions. Playing on the road is another story. He has thrown just six touchdowns and a whopping nine interceptions.

Nobody is happier with Cousins under center than TE Jordan Reed (74 rec, 778 yards, 9 TDs) who caught two TDs last week. Reed isn’t the top target in the passing offense, but he’s unblock-able in the red zone. Wide-receivers Pierre Garcon (62 rec, 648 yards, 4 TDs) and DeSean Jackson (26 rec, 488 yards, 4 TDs) both have had an un-even season, but have made big plays in big games.

“We had a lot on our hands. Everybody said we couldn’t win back-to-back games,” said Jackson, who turned a short throw from Cousins into a highlight reel 77-yard TD. “So this was the first time in a long time we were able to get accomplished what we wanted to get accomplished.”

RB Alfred Morris (166 att, 602 yards, 1 TDs) ran the ball 14 times for 84 yards against the Bills last week. Morris hasn’t hit the century mark since Week 1 against the Dolphins. Sharing the carries with Morris is rookie rusher Matt Jones (144 att, 490 yards, 3 TD) who has ball security issues.

Washington’s defense allows 23.7 points (16th), 240.0 passing yards (14th) and 129.8 rushing yards (29th) per game. Dashon Goldson has 100 tackles, Ryan Kerrigan has 8.5 sacks, and Bashaud Breeland 14 deflected passes.

Why Bet The Philadelphia Eagles Spread At -3 Over The Redskins

The Philadelphia Eagles are 6-8 straight up and against the spread this season. They average 22.7 points (15th), 244.2 passing yards (16th) and 112.7 rushing yards per game. Last week on Sunday Night Football, they were embarrassed at home by the Cardinals. The final score was 40-17.

QB Sam Bradford (3025 yards, 16 TDs & 13 INTs) threw for 361 yards and two TDs against the Cards. He also turned the ball over three times.

“Everybody is frustrated,” Bradford said. “Good news is we have to have a short memory. The next two games are important.”

WR Jordan Matthews (72 rec, 839 yards, 5 TDs) is the one true playmaker this offense has outside the numbers. He had eight catches for 159 yards and one touchdown against Arizona. Tight-ends Zach Ertz (53 rec, 579 yards, 2 TDs) and Brent Celek (24 rec, 342 yards, 3 TDs) are two big targets that play between the numbers. However, neither are a top tier TEs.

The RB DeMarco Murray (176 att, 606 yards, 4 TDs) experiment is ending in Philadelphia. The league’s rushing leader last year had only three yards in two carries last week after making the jump from Dallas for a huge contract. He has averaged a jaw-droppingly disappointing 23.0 yards per game in his last four outings.

Philadelphia’s defense allows 25.9 points (28th), 259.0 passing yards (24th), and 134.1 rushing yards (31st) per game. Malcolm Jenkins has 94 tackles, Fletcher Cox has 7.5 sacks and Byron Maxwell has ten deflected passes.

Betting Trends & Stats Related To This Matchup:

  • 9/21/2014: Philadelphia won 37 to 34, Washington covered +4.5, Game went over 55
  • 12/20/2014: Washington won 27 to 24, Washington covered +7, Game went over 50
  • 10/4/2015: Washington won 23 to 20, Washington covered +3, Game came under 45.5
  • The Redskins are 3-0 ATS in their last three games as underdogs against the Eagles.
  • The Redskins are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games.
  • The Eagles are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games as home favorites.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction:

Both coaches were on the hot-seat from the word go this season. Washington’s Jay Gruden has turned his season around with his team playing some of the most entertaining football in the league. The Eagles’ Chip Kelly has turned a perennial Super Bowl contender into the laughing stock of the league. He gutted the team’s talent and replaced it with personalities he likes but without talent that fits his offense.

My ATS pick is Washington. Final score: Redskins 28, Eagles 24.

Posted in NFL