NFL Week 1 Best BetsNoah Williams
With the start of the 2014 NFL regular season here, NFL gridiron gamblers everywhere are looking for the most value-packed matchups on the Week 1 docket.
Thanks to the expert betting analysis you’re going to get on a trio of cost effective Week 1 matchups, you’re, going to have a great chance to get your 2014 NFL betting season off on the right foot.
With that said and Week 1 quickly approaching, let’s rock and roll.
NFL Week 1 Best Bets
San Francisco -4.5 at Dallas
I don’t know how else to say it, except to come right out and admit that this Week 1 affair looks like a huge mismatch.
San Francisco (14-5 SU,11-6-2 ATS) enters the 2014 season as a legitimate Super Bowl 49 contender while Dallas (8-8 SU,9-7 ATS) looks to avoid becoming the first team in league history to avoid going 8-8 for four straight seasons.
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) September 6, 2014
The Cowboys looked absolutely mediocre in the preseason as they went 0-4 SU and ATS while allowing 27 points or more in every game. To make matters even worse is the fact that the ‘Boys were held to a touchdown or less in two of their tune-up contests.
San Francisco won their final two preseason games to finish the scrimmage season with solid 2-2 SU and ATS marks. Frisco flexed their defensive muscles in limiting the opposition to 13 points or less in their final two preseason games.
Analysis: I’ll be absolutely shocked if San Francisco doesn’t march into Dallas and spank Dallas by at least 10 points.
San Francisco has produced bankroll-boosting 7-1-2 ATS in its last 10 road games while Dallas has compiled a discouraging 1-4 ATS mark in its last five games and equally pitiful 6-13 ATS mark in its last 19 home games overall.
I know the Niners have some of their own issues with Navarro Bowman out and Aldon Smith missing over half the season due to suspension, but the fact of the matter is that San Francisco has the better team on both sides of the ball by far, not to mention the far better head coach, owner and quarterback. The Niners win and cover with room to spare.
My Pick: San Francisco -3 Points
Philadelphia -10 at home against Jacksonville
Let’s be honest everyone and simply admit that it’s not a question of if the Philadelphia Eagles (4-12 SU, 5-10-1 ATS) will win their 2014 regular season opener against the Jacksonville Jaguars (10-7 SU, 8-8-1 ATS). The real question is how much will Philly win by?
The Eagles got off to a slow start in the preseason, but their final two scrimmage games to finish 2-2 SU and ATS. Jacksonville lost their last three preseason games to finish the tune-up season with discouraging 1-3 SU and 3-1 ATS marks.
Jaguars rule out WR Cecil Shorts III (hamstring) http://t.co/nMLj7NiyGb
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) September 6, 2014
The Eagles have too many weapons for the Jags to stop with players like LeSean McCoy and now, elusive veteran Darren Sproles leading the way and even if their defense still leaves something to be desired, Philadelphia should be able to simply outscore the Jags in this one. Philadelphia has won four of its last five home games while Jacksonville has gone 0-5 ATS in their last five games in the month of September. Philadelphia will not only win this contest, but I believe they’ll cover the NFL betting line with room to spare.
My Pick: Philadelphia -11½ Points
Carolina +2.5 at Tampa Bay
Preview: The Carolina Panthers (12-5 SU,9-7-1 ATS) are the easy pick here to take down the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-12 SU,6-10 ATS) and cover the spread in this Week 1 affair.
Tampa Bay went 1-3 SU and ATS in the preseason and that’s okay as they learn their new personality under first-year head coach Lovie Smith, but Tampa Bay’s preseason doesn’t look very good when you consider the fact that the Bucs were held to 14 points or less in three of their tune-up contests, while getting held to 10 points or less in two of those contests.
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) September 6, 2014
The Panthers won a dozen games last season and although I expect them to take a slight step backwards n 2014, they should still walk away victorious in this contest.
Carolina beat Tampa Bay twice last season and I expect them to take this regular season opener as well. The Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against their NFC South division rivals and 7-3 ATS in their L/10 games against their NFC counterparts.
Tampa Bay has gone 2-6 ATS in their last eight Week 1 games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The Favorite in this NFC South rivalry has gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. Keep it simple and play the Panthers to win and cash in!
My Pick: Carolina +3 Points.