Football is back. If you are betting the spread use my NFL Week 1 ATS betting analysis to get an edge on your picks.
NFL Week 1 Spreads & ATS Betting Analysis
Packers vs. Bears -3½
An NFC North showdown between Green Bay and Chicago is an excellent way to kick-off the season. The Packers are faster and younger on defense this season. Chicago is better by mostly staying the same as last year. After playing in Chicago twice a year his entire career, Soldier Field is a second home for Aaron Rodgers. I am taking the Packers plus the points.
Falcons vs. Vikings -4
Atlanta went all-in on improving their offensive line in the offseason, but it won’t be enough when they face the Vikings on the road in Week 1. Minnesota -4 is the play.
Redskins vs. Eagles -8½
Will Washington start Case Keenum or rookie Dwayne Haskins? Either way, the Eagles are going to blow the Redskins out in this game.
Bills vs. Jets -3½
This is the first time we will see Le’Veon Bell on the field in over a year, and he will have a lot to prove. I am backing the Jets.
Ravens -4½ vs. Dolphins
Bet against the Dolphins every week this year. Miami is moving on from the Ryan Tannehill experiment. Currently, journeyman QB Ryan Fitzpatrick who is known for both big interceptions and big touchdowns is taking first-team reps. That is a clear cut sign that 2018 first-round pick Josh Rosen is a bust. Expect the Dolphins to be the worst team in the league and be in line for Tua in 2020.
49ers vs. Bucs -1
Jameis Winston is a bust. Bet the 49ers.
Chiefs -4 vs Jaguars
I expect the Chiefs of 2018 to be back this season. Is Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles the solution to the Jaguars dysfunction?
Titans vs. Browns -5½
The Titans are still in search of a franchise QB. The Browns have theirs. Expectations are high in Cleveland this season, and I am on board. The Browns will win this game, but the Titans will keep it close.
Rams -3 vs. Panthers
Its time to find out who the Los Angeles Rams are. They lost the Super Bowl to a less talented, more prepared team. A win over the Panthers will go a long way to silencing the critics.
Bengals vs. Seahawks -9½
Are the Bengals the new Browns? Nothing but bad luck. A.J. Green will miss up to two months of action after a leg injury during training camp. Bet the Seahawks -9.5.
Colts vs. Chargers -3
Andrew Luck has a calf injury, and everyone is hoping its not a Kevin Durant situation. The Colts will be careful with their franchise QB. Bet the Bolts to win and cover.
Lions -2½ vs. Cardinals
The top pick in the 2019 NFL draft is already turning heads in Arizona. If you are picking the Cardinals the time to bet them is now. As more reports of Kyler Murry come out of training camp and as preseason action unfolds I expect money to come in on the Cards pushing the spread in their favor.
Giants vs. Cowboys -7½
The Giants have no one to throw the ball to. The Cowboys don’t have their starting running back. This game is going to be ugly.
Steelers vs. Patriots -6
Games between these two are always fun to watch. But are the Steelers still competitive without Bell and Brown? Pats -6 at home seems to be a trap.
Texans vs. Saints -7
Saints by a touchdown. The spread is screaming for a last drive cover. I am staying away.
Broncos vs. Raiders -2½
Both teams offenses are a big question mark after off-season changes. Because of that, I am going with the team with the better defense. Bet the Broncos plus the points.