NFL Week 10 Against The Spread Upset PicksJosh Bailey
There have been plenty of upsets in the 2014 NFL season and there are plenty more ahead. In this edition of bold NFL against the spread upset picks will feature a couple of upstart teams facing off and a couple of recent Super Bowl Champions trying to get their seasons back on track.
Who is on upset alert in my Week 10 NFL Picks?
Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs Vs. Buffalo Bills
Date: November 9th
Start Time: 1 pm Eastern
Location: Orchard Park, NY 14217
Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium
TV Info: CBS
Live Stream: NFL.com
Radio: Kansas City Chiefs Vs. Buffalo Bills
Point Spread: Kansas City -1.5
Moneyline: The spread is too tight for a moneyline
I know what you are thinking. An upset pick on a game where the betting spread is only a point and a half? I believe in Kyle Orton and that the Bills will win this game outright, so why not jump on a spread that gives you a bit of breathing room?
The Kansas City Chiefs (5-3, 2nd in AFC West) will hit the road to take on the Buffalo Bills (5-3, 2nd in AFC East) in one of the most interesting games of Week 10. Two of the league’s most aggressive defenses plus possible playoff implications will make this a very watchable contest.
— Kansas City Chiefs (@KCChiefs) November 3, 2014
Buffalo is 8-3 against the spread in its last 11 games as a home underdog, which is significant here when you add in the team’s extra prep time for a home game after their bye. Kansas City is a good team but has gone 4-9 ATS in its past 13 games against AFC East opponents, going 2-8 SU in the last 10 on the road.
Bet the Buffalo Bills to cover the spread and win this NFL week 10 matchup straight up.
Matchup: New York Giants Vs. Seattle Seahawks
Date: November 9th
Start Time: 4:25 pm Eastern
Location: Seattle, WA 98134
Stadium: CenturyLink Field
TV Info: Fox
Live Stream: NFL.com
Radio: New York vs Seattle
Point Spread: Seahawks -8.5
Moneyline: Giants +360 Vs. Seahawks -450
Everyone blames the infamous Super Bowl hangover on the woes of the struggling defending champion Seattle Seahawks (5-3, 2nd in NFC West) . In fact they looked rather perdestrian in ther 30-24 victory against the winless Oakland Raiders this past Sunday. What is to blame? Injuries? Team Chemistry? Or the aforementoined Super Bowl Hangover?
Seattle’s the 12th man host Eli Manning’s New York Giants on Sunday’s late afternoon matchup. The Seahawks are an 8.5 point home favorite and the game total is a lofty 44.5.
— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) November 5, 2014
The Seattle offense is averaging 25.2 points per game and 347.2 yards and they have a plus four turnover ratio. Russell Wilson has completed 62.8 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and has rushed for 393 yards and three touchdowns. Beastmode, Marshawn Lynch, leads the Seahawks ground attack with a bruising 549 yards and five touchdowns and he has 22 receptions and three touchdowns. The Seahawks defense allows a 10th best 21.8 points per game and 304 .9 yards which is good enough for fourth best in the NFL.
The New York Giants have lost their last three games and they have out of the NFC east race. The Giants offense is averaging 22.2 points and 345.9 yards and they are minus one in turnover ratio. Eli Manning has completed 62.5 percent of his passes with 16 touchdowns and five interceptions and he has been sacked 16 times.
Seattle is 18-8 against the spread against NFC opponents, 22-10 against the spread in their last 32 home games, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four games. New York is 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 road games, 1-5 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 27-13-1 against the spread in their last 41 road games against a team with a winning home record. In four of the last head-to-head matchups, the favorite has covered the point spread.
Can the Seahawks cover the 9 points? Not if the Giants defensive front seven can box up Wilson and Lynch and with he protection problems Seattle’s offensive line is happening I predict exactly that and the New York Giants covering the 9 points.