NFL Week 11 Five ? Lock Picks

Miami Vs Atlanta Odds & Betting Analysis

NFL Week 11 Five ? Lock Picks

Week 10 of NFL action is here and finding five star lock picks is getting all the more interesting. Indianapolis battles reeling Atlanta while Dallas takes on Miami. Green Bay travels to Minnesota to face off against the top team in the NFC North. Nobody has been able to write that for a while.

Of real interest is the Miami versus Dallas game. Dallas gets their star QB back. Will he do enough to beat a surging Miami defense? Also of real interest is the Green Bay game. Can Minnesota add a fourth straight loss to Green Bay’s record?

A Closer Look At My NFL Week 11 Five ? Lock Picks

What: Indianapolis Colts (4-5) at Atlanta Falcons (6-3)
When: Sunday, November 22, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Atlanta, GA
Stadium: Georgia Dome
Weather:
Spread: Falcons -6
Moneyline: Indianapolis +220 vs Atlanta -260
Game Total: 47.5
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Indianapolis vs Atlanta

Analysis: Atlanta faces Indianapolis after their bye week. That should have helped Coach Dan Quinn and offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan figures out how to put more points on the board.
Atlanta has one of the better defenses in the NFL. It should be able to put pressure on Indianapolis and the Colts’ less than stellar offensive line with only 4 players. That will leave Atlanta’s linebackers in the middle of the field to roam around and help the secondary pick off Andrew Luck passes.

If the Falcons can get their offensive going, and they have no excuses with QB Matt Ryan, RB Devonta Freeman and WR Julio Jones, Atlanta should win this game by at least 10 points. Falcons over the Colts is a Week 11 lock pick.   

Pick: Atlanta

What: Dallas Cowboys (2-7) at Miami Dolphins (4-5)
When: Sunday, November 22, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Miami, FL
Stadium: Sun Life Stadium
Weather: 83° F | Decrasing Cloudiness
Spread: PK
Moneyline:
Game Total: 47.5
Watch: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Dallas vs Miami

Analysis: Does Cowboys owner Jerry Jones and coach Jason Garrett really want to start QB Tony Romo against Miami’s defensive line this Sunday? The D-Line sacked Tyrod Taylor at Buffalo 3 times 2 games ago. The D-Line sacked Philadelphia quarterback Sam Bradford 4 times in Miami’s last game. They actually forced Bradford out of the game via a concussion and banged up shoulder.

Those aren’t the signs that you want to see when deciding to put your 35 year old quarterback coming off of a bad injury into a game. But, here Jerry goes again, putting Romo’s health on the line for his beloved Cowboys team that sits on a 2 and 7 record.    

Jerry, you already pissed off the Football Gods by signing Greg Hardy. Now, you want to middle finger them again by playing Romo? Miami wins this easily.

Pick: Miami

What: Green Bay Packers (6-3) at Minnesota Vikings (7-2)
When: Sunday, November 22, 2015
Kickoff: 4:25 PM ET 
Where: Minneapolis, MN
Stadium: TCF Bank Stadium
Weather: 34° F | A Mixture of Sun and Clouds
Spread: Vikings -1
Moneyline:
Game Total: 45
Watch: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Green Bay vs Minnesota

Analysis: Man, Green Bay is a mess. The pre-season favorite to win the Super Bowl, this was before the judge lifted the 4 game ban on Tom Brady, has dropped 3 games in a row.
Unfortunately for the Cheeseheads, things get tougher for Green Bay in Week 12 because they have to play one of the most well-rounded, if not the most well-rounded team, in the NFL in the Minnesota Vikings on the road. Minnesota has the defense to give Aaron Rodgers fits. The Vikings have the offense to control the clock.

Minnesota has gone 5 and 0 straight up since their bye. They have won 5 games in a row against the spread since their bye. They have the better defense, the better running back, and they’ll have the best wide receiver of either team on the field in Stefon Diggs. Minnesota wins this game.  

Pick: Minnesota