NFL Week 12 Upset Picks

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NFL Week 12 Upset Picks

There are some possible great looking upsets in NFL Week 12. Will Arizona take it to Atlanta at +4 on Sunday? How will Jacksonville fair as a +7 dog against Buffalo on Nov. 27? What’s going to happen when favored Denver hosts Kansas City at Mile High in Week 12?

NFL Week 12 Upset Picks

Arizona at Atlanta
When:  Sunday, Nov. 27, 1:00 pm ET
Where: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
TV: FOX
Odds: Arizona +4

Analysis: Arizona was terrible in their Week 11 loss to Minnesota. The Vikings had dropped 4 games in a row. But Arizona, who just isn’t nearly as capable this season as they were last season, couldn’t make headway against Minny’s reeling defense. More importantly, the Cardinals could only get to Sam Bradford twice. It also didn’t help that Carson Palmer threw 2 interceptions and that Palmer got sacked 4 times for 43 yards lost.

I believe that Arizona has a much easier time in the Georgia Dome on Nov. 27. To me, the Cardinals’ offense is good enough to play with Atlanta’s offense. Arizona’s defense is slightly better as well. It’s not too late for the Cardinals to make a run to the playoffs.

It starts with an upset straight up win over Atlanta this Sunday in Week 12.  

NFL Week 12 Upset Pick: Arizona

Jacksonville at Buffalo
When:  Sunday, Nov. 27, 1:00 pm ET
Where: New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
TV: CBS
Odds: Jacksonville +7

Analysis: Jacksonville isn’t as good of a team as Buffalo. That’s for sure. But, QB Blake Bortles might get a reprieve this Sunday. Bortles has been terrible in 2016. His QB rating is 80. Bortles has been much worse this season than he was last season.

I still thank that he has a good game against a Buffalo secondary that isn’t always that great. The Bills like to play man-to-man defense in the secondary, meaning that Bortles could get one-on-one matchups with WR Allen Robinson and WR Allen Hurns. Both of those guys are capable of taking it to the house after making a spectacular catch.

I can’t give 7 points to Buffalo in this match up even though on paper it looked the Bills should crush Jacksonville. I’ll take the Jags and the 7 points.

NFL Week 12 Upset Pick: Jacksonville

Kansas City at Denver
When:  Sunday, Nov. 27, 8:30 pm ET
Where: Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO
TV: NBC
Odds: Kansas City +3.5

Analysis: I still say that KC is a better team than the Denver Broncos this season even though, inexplicably, Kansas City lost straight up to Tampa Bay as a close to -8 home favorite in Week 11. KC may have been overlooking Tampa Bay in the loss.

If the Chiefs were overlooking the Bucs in Week 11, it was probably because of their big Sunday night showdown against the Broncos. Kansas City’s defense should have no trouble holding the Broncos’ offense to 14 points or less.

Denver doesn’t have much of a rush defense, either. Kansas City gets the edge and should be right there at the end for a possible straight up win. 

NFL Week 12 Upset Pick: Kansas City