Week 15 NFL Lock PicksJosh Bailey
I believe my must bet Week 15 NFL lock picks have the precise combination of playoff, non-playoff and bubble teams matched against each other for some high probability football bet winnings.
Now, let’s get started.
I love the way the Kansas City Chiefs are playing and they are at home where it is tougher than Seattle. I also love that the Saints will NOT play well in Arizona in an easy 2.5 point lay bringing us to a MNF soufflé for dessert!
Week 15 NFL Lock Picks
Tennessee Titans (7-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-3)
When: Sunday, Dec. 18 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, MO
Odds: Kansas City -5
Analysis: The Chiefs looked great in a big victory over the Raiders Thursday night and probably ended Derek Carr’s MVP chances after holding him to 17 completions in 41 attempts for a measly 117 yards. Alex Smith even looked like a real passing QB completing almost 70% of his passes for 264 yards.
Tennessee has been racking it up this year with the 6th best overall offense led by Demarco Murray and the No. 3 rushing offense averaging 141.5 yards a game. Marcus Mariota had been on a major roll with his passing game until this last week when Denver held him to 88 yards passing, but the Titans still won 13-10.
This game will be tough for the Titans coming into Arrowhead against a strong Kansas City team that is balanced and close to peaking for the NFL Playoffs. The Chiefs are leading the NFL at +27 turnover differential since the 2015 season week 7 and are winning the points off turnovers margin by a lot also.
KC has scored defensively more than anyone this year, and that will ultimately be the key to this Week 15 NFL Lock covering the NFL betting spread.
Week 15 Lock Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -5.5
New Orleans Saints (5-8) at Arizona Cardinals (5-7-1)
When: Sunday, Dec. 18 at 4:05 pm ET
Where: University of Phoenix Stadium – Glendale, AZ
Odds: Arizona -2.5
Analysis: This matchup was expected to be between two of the best teams in the NFL at this time of year, but both the Saints and Cardinals have struggled this year. For the Cardinals, it appears Carson Palmer may be about done after having his 6th game with multiple turnovers this year.
Arizona has been on the road 3 of the last 4 games, and this game is going to be a big one that Coach Bruce Arians will definitely have them ready for. David Johnson is having a tremendous year, and the Cardinals will be riding him hard against the Saints’ No. 27 defense overall in the NFL.
Drew Brees doesn’t fare as well when New Orleans takes their circus on the road, and he seems to have too many clowns not holding up their part of the show on the road. The defense is what will hurt them on their side and even more so on Arizona’s side since the Cardinals own the 2nd best defense in the NFL.
Week 15 Lock Pick: Arizona Cardinals -2.5
Carolina Panthers (5-8) at Washington Redskins (7-5-1)
When: Monday, Dec. 19 at 8:25 pm ET
Where: FedEx Field – Hyattsville, MD
Odds: Washington -4.5
Analysis: The Monday Night Football game has the Redskins as a football betting favorite in a season they are proving they have some grit and desire to get to the NFL Playoffs and advance. Carolina doesn’t seem to care about anything, but I would say Cam Newton cares more about which cane, top hat, and glitter he is wearing to the press conference than he does about winning.
The Panthers are 5-2 as an NFL betting point spread underdog the last 7 games, and since this is MNF on a massive primetime stage, I think he prepares, focuses and tries in this game. I don’t thin they will win, but the 4.5 points is enough for me to back.