NFL Week 15 Lock Picks

NFL Week 15 Lock Pick

NFL Week 15 Lock Picks

With the NFL playoffs around the corner, bubble teams are running out of pins for their post season voodoo dolls. Every team with a snowball’s chance in hell to make a run at the 2015 Super Bowl are bringing their best and my NFL week 15 lock picks reflect that.

Oakland battles Kansas City on the road in a game where Kansas City will be looking for revenge, Dallas battles Philadelphia in a rematch of their Thanksgiving matchup and New Orleans looks to bounce back versus Chicago on Monday night. 

Analyzing My NFL Week 15 Lock Picks

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
When: Sunday, Dec. 14 at 1:00 pm ET
TV:  CBS
Betting Line: Kansas City -10.5

Analysis: Expect Kansas City to dish out quite a bit of punishment in this game. The Chiefs have lost 3 straight and it all started with the 20 to 24 upset “L” to Oakland on Nov. 20.

Oakland played very well against San Francisco, even beating their Golden Gate rival, but that was a home game. In Week 15, the Raiders enter an extremely hostile environment to face arguably their bitterest rival whom they embarrassed just a few weeks ago.

You have to figure that Jamal Charles is going to have a huge game versus the Raiders’ defense after roughing up Arizona’s for 91 yards on the ground, a 9.1 average, and a touchdown. Bad calls appeared to end KC’s attempt at the road victory in the desert, but it’s hard to imagine Oakland having much of a shot against the Chiefs in a must win game.

NFL Week 15 Lock Pick: Kansas City -10.5

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Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
When:  Sunday, Dec. 14 at 8:30 pm ET
TV: NBC
Betting Line: Philadelphia -3.5

Analysis: Dallas came storming back after the loss to Philly with a terrific 41 to 28 victory over Chicago, but this might just be a bad matchup for the Cowboys. Dallas’ defense has given up 28, 33, and 28 points in the last 3 Cowboy games. That’s not good.

Philadelphia managed to put up 14 points against Seattle even though Mark Sanchez reverted to his Jets’ form by completing only 50% of his passes for 96 yards and securing a 76.3 QB rating. But Philly is still averaging 30 points a game and close to 395 yards per contest.

The Cowboys could keep up with Philly in the scoring department and the Cowboys are 5 and 1 against the spread this season. Tough game, but the gut says that Shady McCoy and Sanchez bounce back in this big NFC East showdown on Sunday.  

NFL Week 15 Lock Pick: Philadelphia -3.5

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears
When:  Monday, Dec. 15 at 8:30 pm ET
TV: ESPN
Betting Line: New Orleans -3

Analysis: These two 5 and 8 teams have no business playing on a Monday night. Both are just terrible squads. The Saints are actually the more embarrassing after their 10 to 41 loss to Carolina in the dome.

What happened there? For starters, the Saints’ defense can’t stop the run. Four players have rushed for 148 yards or more against the Saints this season after Jonathan Stewart ran for 155.

Also, New Orleans was down by 17 points before having run their fourth play on offense. Even with those issues, the Saints are favored by 53% of football handicappers to cover the spread against the Bears. The reason is because as bad as New Orleans is, Chicago appears to be worse.

Chicago’s disappointing season seems to be getting worse with every passing day. From poor play, locker room spats and now adding injury to insult.

Bears star WR Brandon Marshall was discharged from Northwestern Memorial Hospital on Sunday, three days after he fractured two ribs and injured a lung during the Bears’ 41-28 loss to the Cowboys on TNF. Marshall’s extended hospitalization, the team said, was for additional treatment to his lung injury, the specifics of which have not been revealed.

New Orleans victory two back over Pittsburgh should give them hope in this Monday night game while the Bears don’t appears to have any desire to play tough after a 17 to 34 loss to Detroit on Thanksgiving Day and a 28 to 41 beat down at the hands of Dallas last Thursday night.    

NFL Week 15 Lock Pick: New Orleans -3