NFL Week 15 Upset Alert Picks

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NFL Week 15 Upset Alert Picks

With the playoffs around the corner its going to be harder and harder to nail down NFL Week 15 upset alert picks, but that doesn’t mean long shot against the spread players shouldn’t give it a try. Washington travels to face NYG while Tampa battles Carolina and San Diego hosts Denver.

Analyzing My NFL Week 15 Upset Alert Picks

Washington at New York Giants
When: Sunday, Dec. 14 at 1:00 pm ET
Betting Line: New York Giants -6.5

Analysis: Sure, the G-Men looked exceptional against the Tennessee Titans in a 36 to 7 victory. Eli Manning was really good when throwing for 260 yards and a touchdown with only one pick while running back Andre Williams rushed for 131 yards and a TD from 24 carries.

But Tennessee gives up 141.5 yards per game on the ground. That’s makes the Titans the worst team in the NFL against the rush. Washington’s defense can be exploited, but it’s much, much better than Tennessee’s. The team from D.C. is ranked tenth overall in the league in yards allowed.

Colt McCoy was horrible against St. Louis, but he should have a better time of it against a Giants’ defense that is allowing 371 total yards including 134.5 yards per game on the ground. If Washington rushes Alfred Morris, they’ll be able to open things up for McCoy.

NFL Week 15 Upset Alert Pick: Washington +6.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
When:  Sunday, Dec. 14 at 1:00 pm ET
Betting Line: Carolina -5

Analysis: The Panthers jumped onto the Saints early by storming to a 17 to 0 lead after two New Orleans turnovers on the Saints’ first two possessions on Sunday. Carolina rolled to an easy 41 to 10 victory over their hated rivals from Louisiana.

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Things shouldn’t be as easy against a Tampa Bay team with a terrible offense but a better than expected defense. Tampa Bay lost by only 6 points to Carolina, 14 to 20, in Week 1. But Tampa Bay almost beat Cincinnati in a 13 to 14 loss 2 games back and the Bucs did score 17 versus Detroit in a game that nobody expected them to do much in.

Carolina might suffer a letdown after playing so well against New Orleans on the road. This game could be closer than the 5 point spread, meaning that even though the Panthers appear to be much better than Tampa Bay, it’s the Buccaneers that get the nod against the spread.  

NFL Week 15 Upset Alert Pick: Tampa Bay +5

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers
When:  Sunday, Dec. 14 at 4:25 pm ET
Betting Line: Denver -4

Analysis: The Broncos have been on a roll straight up since the 7 to 22 upset loss to St. Louis. Denver has won 5 straight including beating Miami, Kansas City on the road and Buffalo. But the Broncos have gone 1 and 3 against the spread in their last 4 games. Buffalo came back to make it close in Week 14 to cover the +9 point spread in a 17 to 24 loss.

San Diego played exceptionally well up until the fourth quarter in a 14 to 23 loss to New England at home in Week 14. The Chargers success versus Denver will depend on stopping Denver’s rushing attack so that they can play in a Cover 2 with a nickel back. That may be difficult to do, but not impossible.

Denver is due for a letdown after close calls versus Miami and Buffalo in 2 out of their last 3 matchups. Don’t be surprised if San Diego wins this game straight up.

NFL Week 15 Upset Alert Pick: San Diego +4