NFL Week 16 ATS Upset Pick – Detroit Vs ChicagoNoah Williams
This Sunday, we will see an NFC North battle that means the playoffs for one team and pride for the other as Matthew Stafford, Megatron and the Detroit Lions face Alshon Jeffery, Matt Forte and the Chicago Bears without Jay Cutler at Soldier Field.
— FOX Sports NFL (@NFLonFOX) December 17, 2014
While the current NFC North leading Detroit Lions are on pace for a well deserved playoff berth, the Bears are in shambles after another ugly loss, this time at home on Monday Night Football in front of a national crowd against the New Orleans Saints.
The NFL week 16 betting odds have the visiting Lions as one touchdown favorites ATS over the Bears. The game total is 45.5.
Lions favored at Chicago for only seventh time in 35 seasons http://t.co/D0eWh9klzm
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) December 17, 2014
Matchup: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Date: Dec. 21, 2014
Start Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: Chicago, Illinois
Stadium: Soldier Field
TV Info: FOX
Radio: Detroit Vs Chicago
Point Spread: Lions -7
Game Total: 45.5
Analyzing My NFL Week 16 ATS Upset Pick – Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Detroit just rallied to beat Minnesota last week 16-14, pushing their record to 3-0 straight up and 2-1 ATS over their last three games. The Lions gave up two touchdowns before scoring sixteen straight points for the W.
That adds up to four games that the Lions have won after trailing in the final quarter and while this offense may be built to come back from behind they don’t want to make a habit of it. Detroit only ranks 17th in total offense but second in total defense and first against the run, holding foes to just 64 yards per game on the ground. The Lions also own a plus-eight turnover ratio.
A closer look at the Lions inconsistent offense you will find a team averaging 20.1 points and 340.9 yards per game led by QB Matthew Stafford who has completed 61.5 percent of his passes with 19 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
Stafford on playing outside at Chicago after 3 home games indoors: "We pride ourselves on being an indoor team with an outdoor mentality."
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) December 17, 2014
Joquie Bell leads the Lions ground attack with 726 yards and six touchdowns and Golden Tate is Detroit’s leading receiver with 91 catches and Calvin Johnson has 61 catches.
On defense, DeAndre Levy has 132 tackles, Tahir Whitehead has 79 tackles, and Ndamukong Suh has 42 tackles and 6.5 sacks. The Lions have been rock solid despite playing through a slew of injuries.
The bumbling Bears just lost their third straight game and there is little light at the end of the tunnel. I could go into the numbers but I don’t have to. This is a team with great talent but no leadership at QB or at head coach.
"We were not in unison tonight collectively on the offensive side of the ball, and that starts with me," Chicago coach Marc Trestman said.
Chicago lost to the Lions at Ford Field back on Thanksgiving Day 34-17 but actually led that game early 14-3. The Bears had the seven-point spread covered going into the fourth quarter but allowed the Lions to score the last 10 points.
The Bears are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points, 8-23 ATS in their last 31 vs. NFC teams, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC North.
The Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win, but 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC North.
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last six games when playing at home against Detroit, but 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit.
NFL Week 16 ATS Upset Pick: Da Bears +7
— NFLonCBS (@NFLonCBS) December 17, 2014