Week 17 NFL Spread Picks – New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

Whenever the schedule is released, I can't help but read the whole damn thing and figure out the top NFL games you need to bet on in 2014.

Week 17 NFL Spread Picks – New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

The only way the New York Jets can end their season on a high note is by upsetting the Miami Dolphins against the Week 17 NFL spread and spoiling their division rival’s chances of busting in to the playoff picture. This is a win-and-in situation for Miami, but the oddsmakers and gamblers all believe that the Dolphins are the more logical play here.

Overall, the Jets have been a porous take on the board, going just 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games. They’re also a tremendously untrustworthy gamble when travelling. They pushed in their last road trip against Carolina, but went just 0-3 SU and ATS when visiting Baltimore, Buffalo and Cincinnati. And they were squashed in all of those games. Still, there’s some slight appeal here because of their defense which has the ability to be disruptive.

NY Jets at Miami Dolphins
The Miami Dolphins are 5.5 point favorites over their AFC East rivals, the NY Jets, in the NFL regular season finale.
Starts: 12/29/2013 1:00PM
Sun Life Stadium, 347 Don Shula Drive
Miami, Florida

 

Miami is coming off a horrifying 0-19 loss against the Buffalo Bills, but return home where they’re 4-1 SU and ATS in their last 5 hostings. It’s easy to dismiss the loss to Buffalo because of the weather. That game featured some of the worst winter rain I’ve seen in a long while and you can’t totally blame a warm weather team like the Dolphins in those type of conditions. The Jets are simply not the bulldozing rushing force that Buffalo’s been these last few weeks.

They also pummeled the Jets just over a month ago, winning 23-3 in New York so there’s plenty of reason to have faith in Miami heading in to this Week 17 NFL spread buster. The Dolphins have a tempting defense that can create havoc up front while picking off Geno Smith repetitively. Miami is also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games, and gamblers have been riding their coattails down the stretch all the way to the bank. This game is massive to their playoff chances, so they won’t let it get away from them.

BONUS WEEK 17 NFL SPREAD

Date
Home
Visit
Pick
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Jacksonville
Indianapolis
JAX +11.5
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Detroit
Minnesota
MIN -3.0
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Houston
Tennessee
TEN -7.0
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Cleveland
Pittsburgh
CLE +7.0
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Washington
New York Giants
NYG -3.5
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
New York Jets
Miami
MIA -5.5
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Carolina
Atlanta
ATL +6.0
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Baltimore
Cincinnati
CIN -6.0
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Buffalo
New England
BUF +8.5
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Tampa Bay
New Orleans
TB +13.0
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Denver
Oakland
DEN -13.0
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
San Francisco
Arizona
SF PK
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Kansas City
San Diego
SD -9.5
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
St. Louis
Seattle
STL +10.5
Sun, Dec 29th 2013
Philadelphia
Dallas
PHI -6.0

Eventually this game comes down to betting on Ryan Tannehill or Geno Smith. While Tannehill doesn’t present a whole lot of sex appeal as a player, he has been remarkably efficient at generating plays that keeps the offence moving. He is a typical “take what the defense gives you” quarterback, while Smith is still finding his footing. If you want to place your money in the hands of the most mistake prone quarterback in the league, you’re more than welcome to. I prefer Tannehill, and even I can’t believe I’m saying that. Miami could be a dangerous threat in the playoffs. They are that good.

Week 17 NFL Spread Pick – Miami -5.5