NFL Week 3 ATS Upset Picks

NFL Week 3 ATS Upset Picks

It’s time to turn the page to NFL week 3 betting action. For those of you who are looking to cash in on ATS upset picks this week, you need to jump on the action early. Why? Early NFL lines are unadulterated by action from the sharps or the whales and that always favors the insider upset picks.

Happy Hunting!

A Closer Look At My NFL Week 3 Against The Spread Upset Picks

What: Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at New England Patriots (2-0)
When: Sunday, Sept. 27th, 2015 
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET 
Where: Foxboro, MA
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Weather: 65° F/Scattered Clouds
Spread: Patriots -14.5
Moneyline: Jacksonville +750 vs New England -1165
Game Total: 47
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Jacksonville vs New England

New England’s offense has looked great so far this season. It destroyed a Buffalo defense that many football analysts thought was one of the best in the NFL. New England racked up 451 total passing yards versus the Bills. Tom Brady completed 38 of 59 passes for 466 yards. He threw 3 touchdowns. Jacksonville plays a bend but don’t break defense. The Jaguars are going to give up a lot of yards to Brady and the Pats, but they shouldn’t give up too many touchdowns. Expect Jacksonville to lose, but not to lose by more than 13 points.
Pick: Jacksonville +13.5

What: Philadelphia Eagles (0-2) at NY Jets (2-0)
When: Sunday, Sept. 27th, 2015 
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET 
Where: East Rutherford, NJ
Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Weather: 71° F/Scattered Clouds
Spread: NA
Moneyline: N/A
Game Total: N/A
Watch: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Philadelphia vs New York

Philadelphia has three major issues. First, Coach Chip Kelly may have showed his hand during the pre-season. That’s why Philly scored so many points against the teams that they faced in the pre-season. Second, nobody appears to respect Kelly. They just don’t seem to want to play hard for him. Third, the offensive line isn’t very good. Dallas held the Eagles to 7 yards rushing. Atlanta held the Eagles to 63 yards rushing in Week 1. The Jets should add another loss onto Philly’s record.
Pick: New York Jets +2

What: New Orleans Saints (0-2) at Carolina Panthers (2-0)
When: Sunday, Sept. 27th, 2015 
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET 
Where: Charlotte, NC
Stadium: Bank of America Stadium
Weather: 78° F/ Rain
Spread: Panthers -3.5
Moneyline: N/A
Game Total: 45
Watch: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: New Orleans vs Carolina

The Saints don’t have a lot of positives to take away from their 19 to 26 loss to the Buccaneers in Week 1. What they can take away is that they did play well enough to win. Costly mistakes are what doomed them against the Buccaneers. The Saints can’t afford to go 0 and 3 to start the season. The team is good enough to challenge for the terrible NFC South. New Orleans should be able to run the ball against the Panthers. That’s what will lead to the first victory of 2015.
Pick: New Orleans +3.5

What: Oakland Raiders (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1)
When: Sunday, Sept. 27th, 2015 
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET 
Where: Cleveland, OH
Stadium: FirstEnergy Stadium
Weather: 70° F/Scattered Clouds
Spread: Browns -3.5
Moneyline: Oakland +165 vs Cleveland -190
Game Total: 42
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Oakland vs Cleveland

Cleveland played very well against QB Marcus Mariota and the Tennessee Titans in Week 2. Johnny Manziel looked like he might end up as the starter in Cleveland. But things get much more difficult against Oakland. The Raiders have a better defense than Tennessee has. Not only that, but QB Derek Carr has 2 excellent targets in Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper. The Cleveland defense will have some trouble stopping the Oakland passing game.
Pick: Oakland +4.5   

What: Kansas City Chiefs (1-1) at Green Bay Packers (2-0)
When: Monday, Sept. 28th, 2015 
Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET 
Where: Green Bay, WI
Stadium: Lambeau Field
Weather: 71° F/Sunny
Spread: Packers -7
Moneyline: Kansas City +255 vs Green Bay -310
Game Total: 48
Watch: ESPN
Stream:  Watch ESPN
Listen: Kansas City vs Green Bay

Green Bay throttled Seattle 27 to 17 in the Sunday night game in Week 2. Is that because Green Bay’s defense is suddenly playing well?  Or, is that because Green Bay’s offense got to play against Seattle’s defense without Kam Chancellor? Kansas City should have a field day against Green Bay’s D. If Green Bay commits to stopping Jamal Charles from running the ball, how is it going to stop WR Jeremy Maclin, TE Travis Kelce or Charles from catching the football? The Packers defense won’t be able to stop Kansas City’s offense. That could lead to a straight up loss.
Pick: Kansas City +6.5

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