NFL week 3 betting odds are out and I am here to run down my picks. The opening Las Vegas NFL odds are a perfect indication of who the professionals believe have the edge on winning the game straight up. Does risking a king’s ransom on the favorite’s money line for a paltry return worth it? Not in my world. I am here to give you the extra edge to win your ATS bets.
Early NFL Week 3 Odds & Free Picks
Washington at New York Giants -4
Washington has looked good in 2 games so far this season. Washington was close to Miami in Week 1 while they upset St. Louis in Week 2. But, they take on the Giants in Week 3. The G-Men are due for a win after losing games late to Dallas and Atlanta.
Pick: New York Giants
Atlanta -1.5 at Dallas
QB Tony Romo’s injury is not good. The Cowboys will have to win with their running game and their defense. Coach Dan Quinn at Atlanta has made all of the right moves. They’re the team to beat in the NFC South. The Falcons will prevail.
— FOX Sports Live (@FOXSportsLive) September 21, 2015
Indianapolis at Tennessee
You can’t win when you turn the ball over. The Titans lost 3 fumbles versus Cleveland in their 14 to 28 Week 2 loss. Titans QB Marcus Mariota hurt his ankle and is questionable for this. All signs point to Tennessee losing by a healthy margin.
Oakland at Cleveland -4
Oakland’s a much improved team, but the Cleveland defense is better than many believe it to be. Cleveland’s D should be the deciding factor in this matchup.
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) September 21, 2015
Cincinnati at Baltimore -3
You have to appreciate how Cincinnati can win with either a strong power rushing attack or with Andy Dalton throwing the football. Baltimore has some issues but this is a rivalry game. It can go either way. Back the home team.
Jacksonville at New England -13.5
New England should have no trouble against Jacksonville, right? Motivation is a funny thing. New England was plenty motivated to put a beating on Buffalo, but then they allowed the Bills to get within 8 points in a 40 to 32 road win in Week 2. How motivated will they be to beat the Jaguars? Expect a win but not a cover.
Pick: New England
New Orleans at Carolina -3.5
New Orleans is a bad team while Carolina’s D is ranked in the Top 10 in every single defensive category. The Panthers are also one of the better rushing teams in the NFL. Then again, it’s tough to see a Sean Payton coached team losing 3 games in a row.
Pick: New Orleans
Philadelphia -2 at New York Jets
Now, a Chip Kelly team losing 3 games in a row? That can definitely happen. The problem with Philadelphia is that the team doesn’t really believe in Chip. He blew the call versus Atlanta and then his guy, QB Sam Bradford, made some terrible mistakes in the second half. If Philly switches to Mark Sanchez, they might have a shot. If they don’t, that terrible defense is going to get run over by the Jets’ rushing attack.
Pick: New York Jets
DeMarco Murray on the season… 21 Rush, 11 Yards pic.twitter.com/NcypX0enYk
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) September 20, 2015
Tampa Bay at Houston -6.5
Jameis Winston meet JJ Watt. You might have to shake his hand while lying on your back and writhing in pain, but, there you go. The official introduction has been made.
San Diego at Minnesota -2
Minnesota got it together versus Detroit in Week 2 and a beautiful game from both the offensive line opening up holes for RB Adrian Peterson and giving Teddy Bridgewater time to throw the ball is the result. Minnesota should win their second game in a row.
Pittsburgh -1 at St. Louis
Pittsburgh’s offense is very talented. St. Louis’ defensive line is one of the best in the NFL, but it will get worn down facing such a dynamic offense. On offense, though, St. Louis can stick with the Steelers. This is going to be a much tougher game than many believes it to be. Going with the home team.
Pick: St. Louis
San Francisco at Arizona -6
San Francisco QB Colin Kaepernick has played well this season. He threw the ball with authority versus Pittsburgh’s secondary. Still, Arizona is one of the best teams in the NFL. If they start RB David Johnson, they should roll to an easy victory.
Buffalo at Miami -3
Miami’s offense had some trouble scoring more than 20 points versus Jacksonville’s supposedly terrible defense. What’s going to happen to the Fins when they face Buffalo? Buffalo’s offense got it going versus New England’s defense late. It won’t be as effective versus Miami’s defense.
Chicago at Seattle
Seattle should sign Kam Chancellor as soon as possible. Give the guy whatever he wants. The ‘Hawks have now allowed Nick Foles to throw for 297 yards and a TD without a pick and Aaron Rodgers to throw for 249 yards and 2 TDs without a pick. Seattle should beat Chicago but it’s not looking good.
Jimmy Graham doesn't seem happy with his role in Seattle's offense, nor should he be http://t.co/eaJqrirdFN
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) September 21, 2015
Denver -2.5 at Detroit
Denver performed a miracle comeback against Kansas City on the road in Week 2. Detroit failed miserably on the road versus the Vikings in Week 2. Matthew Stafford is questionable. If he plays, Detroit should win.
Kansas City at Green Bay -6.5
Green Bay has that Super Bowl look to them. A letdown in Week 3 after beating Seattle 27 to 17 could be in store, though. Go with Kansas City who knows that they should be sitting at 2 and 0 instead of 1 and 1.
Pick: Kansas City