Week 5 NFL Upset Picks – Bet The Road UnderdogsJosh Bailey
If you like living on the edge – and you’re looking to give your NFL betting bankroll a big-time jolt as the second quarter of the 2014 regular season gets underway this coming week – then there’s no better way to do so than by cashing in on a value-packed underdog that has a legitimate chance to not only cover the spread, but win outright.
As usual…I’ve done all the homework and now all you have to do is make your sportbet.com NFL wagers and sit back and relax. You see, each of the following four, Week 5 games is offering you a huge chance to cash in on the underdog team.
With the weekend quickly approaching, let’s get busy!
Week 5 NFL Upset Picks – Bet These Road Underdogs
Chicago +2.5 at Carolina
Sure, the Chicago Bears got spanked in their humbling 38-17 smackdown loss to Green Bay last weekend, (and my dislike for Jay Cutler hasn’t changed) but I still like the Bears to bounce back and cover the spread as 2.5-point road dogs against a Carolina Panthers team that has lost two straight games and has serious problems on offense.
Carolina is averaging a paltry 18.3 points per game and has scored 19 points or less in each of their last two games and no more than 24 all season.
The Bears may not be in the same elite class as some other teams, but they’ve got a potent offense that will be looking to get back on track after failing to reach 21 points against the Packers.
The road team in this series is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings, making the Chicago Bears the pick here!
My Pick: Chicago Bears +2.5 Points
Atlanta +4.5 at NY Giants
I know the New York Giants just picked up an impressive 45-14 blowout win of Washington the last time out while Atlanta suffered a surprising 41-28 loss against Minnesota in Week 4, but I’m still not totally convinced in the Giants and I think the Falcons could win this one in a shootout.
The Falcons may be ranked 28th or lower in every meaningful defensive statistical category, but Matt Ryan and company are still ranked second in the league in scoring (32.8 ppg) and can put points on the board in a hurry.
Atlanta has compiled a near-perfect 4-1 ATS mark in their last five games following an SU loss while also going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
New York is 1-4-1 ATS in their last half-dozen games following an SU win of 14 points or more and that leads me to believe the G-Men will lose their focus at some point – and the Falcons will capitalize.
My Pick: Atlanta Falcons +4.5 Points
Tampa Bay +11 at New Orleans
After dropping their first three games of the season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers looked like they were about to go belly up – before they pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the season by beating Pittsburgh 27-24 on the road in Week 4.
The New Orleans Saints will undoubtedly be looking to bounce back from the shocking 38-17 loss to Dallas on Sunday but I’ve got a feeling the Bucs are going to turn this annual NFC South divisional battle into a knock-down, drag-out battle that ends up a lot closer to a field goal than the double digit spread it currently is.
While none of the key trends surrounding this matchup points to a Buccaneers ATS cover, I say, that was before current head coach Lovie Smith arrived. I like Tampa Bay to play the same brand of defense that has held three of their four opponents this season to 24 points or less and two of them to 20 points or less.
I like the Bucs and the 11 points people!
My Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +11 Points
Houston +4.5 at Dallas
The Dallas Cowboys may have picked up a surprising 38-17 blowout win over New Orleans on Sunday, but I’m not overly impressed – and not nearly as much as I am with the way the Houston Texans have played in their first season under head coach Bill O’Brien.
Houston bounced back from its 30-17 Week 3 loss at the Giants to record a hard-fought 23-17 win over Buffalo in Week 4. Houston has been very solid on defense in holding three of their opponents to 17 points or less and I believe J.J. Watt and company are going to pressure Toy Romo into at least one costly mistake while keeping a lid on the ‘Boys blossoming ground game.
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last five games while Dallas is just 2-5 ATS in its L/7 games following an SU win of 14 points or more.
My Pick: Houston Texans +4.5 Points