Spread & ATS Pick Rams vs Saints NFL Week 9

NFL Week 7 Upset Picks

NFL Week 7 promises to be a surprising one for moneyline upset minded bettors. One of the marquee games pits Dallas versus the New York Giants.

Rumor has it that Dallas might start WR Dez Bryant against NYG. If Dallas does that, the G-Men might be in some trouble. NYG had trouble stopping Philadelphia’s rushing and passing offense this Monday night. The other upset picks are in the New Orleans versus Indianapolis game and in the NYJ versus Kansas City game. Keep reading for analysis of NFL Week 7’s best moneyline upset picks!         

A Closer Look At My NFL Week 7 Upset Picks

What: New Orleains Saints (2-4) at Indianapolis Colts (3-3)
When: Sunday, October 25, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Indianapolis, IN
Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium
Weather: N/A
Spread: Colts -5.5
Moneyline: New Orleans +195 vs Indianapolis -235
Game Total: 52.5
Watch: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: New Orleans vs Indianapolis

Indianapolis could have beaten New England if not for a stupid call in the second half. What the heck was the coaching staff thinking? In any case, there are high hopes that QB Andrew Luck has as much success against the Saints’ defense as he had against New England’s defense.

He could, but even if he does, Indy could still lose this game. The Saints have a very good rusher in Mark Ingram. Ingram is going to touch the ball at least 20  times in this as both a rusher and a receiver. Also expect Drew Brees to throw the ball to giant wide-out Willie Snead and tight-ends Josh Hill and Benjamin Watson. The Saints figure to control the clock in this matchup, keeping Luck and the Colts’ offense off the field.

If New Orleans is able to do that, the Saints could upset Indianapolis straight up. The betting line has gone south from Indianapolis -6 to Indy -4.5. That’s a sign that a moneyline wager on the Saints to win this could pay dividends.  

Pick: New Orleans

What: NY Jets (4-1) at New England Patriots (5-0)
When: Sunday, October 25, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Foxboro, MA
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Weather: 65° F | Sprinkles Late
Spread: Patriots -9
Moneyline: NY Jets +340 vs New England -440
Game Total: 48
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: New York vs New England

The moneyline could end up with the Jets as a +300 to +400 dog if NYJ remains a heavy +8.5 dog against the spread. The Patriots are a good team. They might even be the best team in the AFC. But, the Patriots’ defense hasn’t been as great as everybody has imagined it to be. New England’s defense is allowing 114.2 rushing yards and 241.6 passing yards per matchup. It looks good until handicappers realize that the Pats gave up 32 points to Buffalo and 27 points to Indianapolis.

Neither Buffalo nor Indianapolis has as good of an offense as the Jets’ have. Buffalo rushed for 160 yards on the ground against New England. The Jets average 146 yards, first the NFL, per game. Chris Ivory averaged 7.4 yards per carry against Washington’s stellar rush defense in Week 6.

Statistically, New England does have the best offense in the NFL. The Pats score 36 points and average 422.4 yards per matchup. But, the Patriots play against the number one ranked defense in the NFL this Sunday. The Jets have a serious shot at handing New England its first loss of the season.   

Pick: New York Jets

What: Dallas Cowboys (2-3) at NY Giants (3-2)
When: Sunday, October 25, 2015
Kickoff: 4:25 PM ET 
Where: East Rutherford, NJ
Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Weather: 67° F | Sprinkles Late
Spread: Giants -6
Moneyline: N/A
Game Total:
Watch: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Dallas vs NY Giants

The Giants’ defense was absolutely horrendous this past Monday night in a 7 to 27 road loss to Philadelphia as a +3.5 dog. While the Giants usually allow 93 rushing yards per matchup, Philly ran for 155 yards against the Giants’ D.

That stat bodes well for Dallas in their battle against the G-Men on Sunday afternoon. Dallas has lost 3 games in a row since losing both WR Dez Bryant and QB Tony Romo. Word is that Bryant might start this Sunday. Even if he doesn’t, Dallas could upset the Giants straight up because RB Christine Michael will play.

QB Matt Cassel is starting for the Cowboys as well. Cassel has more experience than Brandon Weeden. He’ll find a way to get the ball to tight-ends Gavin Escobar and Jason Witten. The offensive line will open up holes for Michael. Dallas can win this game.

Pick: Dallas

Posted in NFL