2016 NFL Team By Team Betting Preview

NFL Week 9 Betting Cheat Sheet – ATS, Money Line & Over/Under

Wow, things are changing fast in the NFL!  After Week 8, an undefeated team went down in Green Bay while one team that appeared dead in the NFC, New Orleans, suddenly looks like a contender.

At the halfway point it’s starting to get easy to see which teams will end up in the playoffs and which teams are likely to fade away. Let’s get to this week’s top ATS, Over/Under and Moneyline picks.

Bye Teams: Kansas City, Baltimore, Houston, Arizona, Seattle, Detroit

NFL Week 9 ATS Picks

Tennessee at New Orleans
When: Sunday, Nov. 8 at 1:00 pm ET
Odds: TBD

The betting line is going to be set on Wednesday once Tennessee lets everybody know whether QB Marcus Mariota will play or not. Without Mariota, the Saints will have to cover a much bigger spread than what they would have to cover with Mariota playing.

It won’t matter. Tennessee’s defense is very good against the pass. It allows only 197.9 passing yards per game. But, New Orleans is capable of rushing the football with either RB C.J. Spiller, or RB Mark Ingram. Ingram in particular has turned into one of the best running backs in the NFL. He can dominate the Tennessee front line and open things up for Brees and the passing game. 

Pick: New Orleans

Miami at Buffalo
When: Sunday, Nov. 8 at 1:00 pm ET
Odds: Buffalo -3

Miami DE Cameron Wake is out for the season. That’s too bad. Even though New England dominated Miami on the scoreboard, it was only 12 to 0 at halftime. Without Wake the Dolphins are going to have a terrible time getting pressure on the QB or stopping the run.

Buffalo had a terrible time stopping Cincinnati’s defense in a 21 to 34 loss and stopping Jacksonville’s defense in a 31 to 34 loss in the two games before their bye. Expect Coach Rex Ryan to have figured some things out during the bye. Buffalo rolls.  

Pick: Buffalo

Washington at New England
When: Sunday, Nov. 7 at 1:00 pm ET
Odds: New England -14

The Patriots continue to impress. New England is 7 and 0 on the season. The bandwagon for another undefeated Patriots’ season is getting fuller. What is a football handicapper to do?

Giving up 14 points is a lot of points to give up on a team that is 4-2-1 against the spread. Yes, the Patriots looked awesome in their 36 to 7 win over Miami last Thursday night, but that win had a lot to do with Dolphins’ QB Ryan Tannheill making mistakes.

Washington goes into this one off of a bye. They should be able to slow the game down with running backs Chris Thompson, Alfred Morris and Matt Jones.

Pick: Washington

NFL Week 9 Game Total Over/Under Picks

Atlanta at San Francisco
When: Sunday, Nov. 8 at 4:05 pm ET
Odds: 45

Atlanta’s offense hasn’t played very well, but that figures to turnaround against a San Francisco defense that’s allowing a ridiculous 408.3 yards and 25.9 points per game. San Francisco’s D is a mess.

The Falcons’ top running back, Devonta Freeman, should have a field day. Expect the Falcons to score over 30 points in this. Atlanta’s defense is good, but San Francisco’s offense is terrible. SF should still get at least 20 in this one even with a terrible offense.

Pick: Over

New York Giants at Tampa Bay
When: Sunday, Nov. 8 at 4:05pm ET
Odds: 47

Drew Brees shredded the New York Giants defense in Week 8. Brees threw for 511 yards and 7 touchdown passes. The Giants’ Eli Manning threw for 350 yards and 6 touchdown passes.
But Bucs’ QB Jameis Winston is not Drew Brees and it’s difficult to imagine Eli being as pass-happy under center this Sunday as he was versus the Saints’ in Week 8. This game should go under because the Giants’ defense will exploit Winston’s inexperience while Manning is likely to take things much easier when the Giants are on offense instead of having to play catch up for the entire game.

Pick: Under

Chicago at San Diego
When: Monday, Nov. 9 at 8:30 pm ET
Odds: 50

That seems like a crazy total, doesn’t it?  Then again, Chicago allows an average of 342.3 yards and 28.9 points per game on defense. Detroit’s terrible offense scored 37 against Chicago in Week 7.

San Diego averages 423.2 total yards on offense. The Chargers defense allows a ridiculous 28.4 total points per game. San Diego scores 23.9 points per game on average and has scored 29 and 26 points in their last 2 games. This game should crush the over.

Pick: Over

NFL Week 9 Straight Up Moneyline Picks

St. Louis at Minnesota
When: Sunday, Nov. 8 at 1:00 pm ET
Odds: Minnesota -2.5

St. Louis’ defense is ranked in the Top 10 in total yards per game allowed, passing yards per game allowed, rushing yards per game allowed and points per game allowed. The Rams allow only 17.9 points per game on average. That ranks fourth in the NFL.

Minnesota’s defense is giving up an average of 104.7 rushing yards per game while St. Louis allows less than 100 yards per rushing per matchup. Go with the team with the better rusher at this point in the season, Todd Gurley at St. Louis as opposed to Adrian Peterson at Minnesota.  

Pick: St. Louis

Oakland at Pittsburgh
When: Sunday, Nov. 7 at 1:00 pm ET
Odds: Pittsburgh -4.5

Pittsburgh didn’t play very well against Cincinnati. Yes, they had a chance to win at the end, but QB Big Ben threw 3 interceptions. What’s worse is that the Steelers will be without RB Le’Veon Bell for the rest of the season.

RB De’Angelo Williams should be able to fill in admirably, but the Steelers face a very good Oakland team on Sunday. The Raiders’ offense is clicking big time. Oakland put up 34 points against the Jets’ second ranked defense. The Raiders passed for 333 yards and rushed for 118 while the Raiders’ defense held the Jets to 74 rushing yards. Expect Oakland to put an end to Pittsburgh’s playoff hopes in Week 9.

Pick: Oakland

Philadelphia at Dallas
When: Sunday, Nov. 7 at 8:30 pm ET
Odds: Philadelphia -3

The wheels are off of the Cowboys’ big rig. Right now, Dallas is running around like a chicken with its head cut off. QB Matt Cassel isn’t the answer. Nobody is the answer except Tony Romo.

Philadelphia got an extra week to prepare for the Cowboys. Before losing 16 to 27 to Carolina, the Eagles had run off 3 straight wins. The defense had started to really step it up. Expect Philly to add to the Boys’ misery on Sunday.   

Pick: Philadelphia

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