NY Jets at Dallas Cowboys Spread, ATS Pick & Betting Preview

Why Bet On The New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys Spread

A mere month ago this game was the big ticket but after injuries to a few stars the Cowboys are 8-point underdogs when they host the New England Patriots. The game kicks off on CBS this Sunday, October 11th at 4:25 PM ET. Cord-cutters can stream the game live via CBSsports.com.

A Closer Look At New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys NFL Week 5 Spread

What: New England Patriots (3-0) at Dallas Cowboys (2-2)
When: Sunday, October 11, 2015
Kickoff: 4:25 PM ET 
Where: Arlington, TX
Stadium: AT&T Stadium
Weather:
Spread: Patriots -8
Moneyline: New England -380 vs Dallas +315
Game Total: 49
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: New England vs Dallas

If You Are Betting On The New England Patriots -8 Line

The New England Patriots are 3-0 straight up and 2-0-1 against the spread so far this season. The Patriots average 39.7 points (1st), 359.3 passing yards (1st) and 87.0 rushing yards (27th) per game. They are coming off of a bye-week and will want to remind everyone they are the league’s top team.

QB Tom Brady is playing angry. He has thrown for 1112 yards, 9 TDs & 0 INTs while completing 72.2% of his passes for a 119.6 passer rating. The reversal of Brady’s four-game suspension over January’s Deflategate incident has given the Patriots’ first three opponents indigestion.

Brady’s top target has been TE Rob Gronkowski (16 rec, 308 yards, 4 TDs) followed a close second by WR Julian Edelman (30 rec, 279 yards, 2 TDs). Last season’s deep ball threat Brandon LaFell can come off the physically unable to perform list any time between Weeks 7 and 9.

RB Dion Lewis (30 car, 146 yards, 2 TDs) is earning the Patriots version of a unicorn — Bill Belichick’s trust. Lewis’ strong start has strengthened the belief of the coaching staff that if the game plan calls for a pass-first, up-tempo approach, Lewis will be the featured back. Owner Robert Kraft rewarded Lewis with a two year deal worth up to $5 million.

New England’s defense allows 23.3 points (17th), 252.0 passing yards (18th) and 117.0 rushing yards per game. Jamie Collins leads the Patriots with 22 tackles, Chandler Jones has three sacks and Malcolm Butler has four pass deflections.

If You Are Betting On The Dallas Cowboys +8 Line

Dallas is 2-2 straight up and 1-3 against the spread so far this season. The Cowboys average 23.8 points (15th), 261.5 passing yards (8th), and 107.8 rushing yards (16th) per game. Can the Cowboys overcome last week’s 26-20 OT loss to the New Orleans Saints. 

QB Brandon Weeden has thrown for 551 yards, 2 TDs & 1 INTs this season after being thrust into the starting job after Romo’s injury. Head-coach Jason Garrett isn’t asking much from Weeden. Don’t turn over the ball. 

TE Jason Witten (25 rec, 238 yards, 2 TD) has been the Cowboys most reliable target. Backing him up in the passing game is WR Terrance Williams (12 rec, 193 yards, 2 TDs). Can they hold down the fort until Dez Bryant can return from a broken foot?  

RB Joseph Randle (59 att, 229 yards, 4 TDs) has been the team’s top rusher with Raiders castoff Darren McFadden showing no signs of what made him a college star. Pass-catching RB Lance Dunbar (21 rec. 215 yards, 0 TD) is lost for the season after tearing his ACL and MCL last week. 

Dallas’s defense allows 25.2 points (19th), 256.0 passing yards (19th) and 91.8 rushing yards (9th) per game. Sean Lee leads the Cowboys with 36 tackles, Anthony Hitchens has 1.5 sacks and Tyler Patmon has four pass deflections. 

Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:

  • New England Patriots 6-4 On Road since last season
  • Dallas Cowboys 3-8 At Home since last season
  • Dallas Cowboys 1-2 As Home Underdog since last season
  • Dallas Cowboys 5-6 O-U At Home since last season
  • Dallas Cowboys 1-2 O-U When Line is >48 this season
  • Dallas Cowboys 6-8 O-U When Line is >48 since last season
  • Dallas Cowboys 3-5 O-U When Line was 48 to 51 since last season
  • Dallas Cowboys 3-4 O-U vs Teams Averaging >25 PPG since last season

The Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 5, 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games in October, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on field turf and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

My NFL Week 5 Betting Pick: Patriots -8.

Players Out or Doubtful:
  • New England: Brandon LaFell, Chris Jones, Dane Fletcher.
  • Dallas: Tony Romo, Lance Dunbar, Dez Bryant, Mark Nzeocha.
Posted in NFL