NFL Wild Card Weekend Upset Picks

Bengals Vs Steelers Spread & Expert ATS Pick

NFL Wild Card Weekend Upset Picks

NFL Wild Card Weekend figures to be a doozy. Not a single team playing against any other team has too big of an advantage. The biggest favorite during Wild Card Weekend is Seattle.

The Seahawks travel to Minnesota as a -5.5 point betting favorite. Minnesota definitely shows up on my NFL Wild Card Weekend Upset Picks article. The Vikings are going to be difficult for Seattle to beat on Sunday. On Saturday, Pittsburgh travels to Cincinnati as a -2.5 point betting favorite against the AFC North Division winning Bengals. See below for my upset picks for NFL Wild Card Weekend.

A Closer Look At My NFL Wild Card Weekend Upset Picks

What: NFC Wild Card Game
Who: Seattle Seahawks (10-6) at Minnesota Vikings (11-5)
When: Sunday, January 10, 2016,
Kickoff: 1:05 PM ET 
Where: Minneapolis, MN
Stadium: TCF Bank Stadium
Spread: Seahawks -6
Moneyline: Seattle -240 vs Minnesota +200
Game Total: 42
Watch: NBC
Stream:  NBC Sports Live Extra
Listen: Seattle vs Minnesota

Analysis: It’s hard to go against those picking Seattle. After all, the Seahawks won 8 out of their final 10 games during the regular season. One of the wins was a terrific 38 to 7 drubbing of Minnesota on the road on Dec. 6. In that game, Seattle rushed for 173 yards from 36 carries. QB Russell Wilson passed for 274 yards and 3 touchdowns when completing 21 of 27 pass attempts. Seattle’s defense held the Vikings to 31 rush yards and 94 pass yards.

Expect things to be different this time around. Minnesota RB Adrian Peterson said after the blowout loss that the Vikings had been “outcoached”. Instead of being babies about it, Minnesota’s coaching staff took Peterson’s words to heart. Since the loss to the Seahawks, the Vikings haven’t allowed a team to score more than 23 points against them on defense. The Vikings’ offense has led the team to 3 straight victories. Minnesota is surging at the right time, having closed out the regular season with 3 straight wins and a 4 and 0 against the spread record. I like Minnesota to pull off the home upset.  

Pick: Minnesota  

What: AFC Wild Card Game
Who: Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (12-4)
When: Saturday, January 9, 2016
Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET 
Where: Cincinnati, OH
Stadium: Paul Brown Stadium
Spread: Steelers -2.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -135 vs Cincinnati +155
Game Total: 47
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati

Analysis: After Week 16, everybody hated the Steelers. With a playoff berth in their grasps, the Steelers blew it against the rival Baltimore Ravens. Pittsburgh lost 17 to 20. But in Week 17, the Jets imploded at home against Buffalo. Pittsburgh beat Cleveland 28 to 12 and no all of a sudden everybody loves the Steelers again. I’m not buying into the hype. Pittsburgh has gone 1 and 3 ATS in their last 4 games. The Steelers’ defense played against QB Austin Davis and it still allowed the Browns to put 13 points on the board. Baltimore QB Ryan Mallett, threw for 274 yards and a TD without a pick against the Steelers defense in Week 16.

A.J. McCarron isn’t as good of a QB as Andy Dalton. But since imploding against Pittsburgh in his first start where he threw 2 picks, McCarron hasn’t thrown pick since. He almost willed the Bengals to an overtime win over Denver in Week 16 before leading the Bengals to a 24 to 16 win over Baltimore in Week 17. McCarron faces the 30th ranked in the NFL on Saturday. He’ll do enough for Cincinnati to get the straight up win.  

Pick: Cincinnati