Will There Be Sunny Days For The 2014 Miami Dolphins?

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Will There Be Sunny Days For The 2014 Miami Dolphins?

Should You Bet On Miami Dolphins In The 2014 NFL Season?

For a team that went through one of the most embarrassing situations in league history last season, the Miami Dolphins (8-8 SU, 9-7 ATS, 7-8-1 O/U) has a fantastic 2013 campaign.

While the Fins floundered in losing each of their last two games – while blowing a chance at a playoff berth in the process – Miami will enter the 2014 NFL regular season on a positive note while looking to take the next step toward becoming a playoff participant for the first time since 2008.

This preview of Miami ‘s upcoming 2014 season, including their Week 1 matchup and chances of winning the AFC East division title will give you the insight you’ll need in order to make a series of informed wagers all season long.

Betting On the Miami Dolphins to Win Super Bowl 49

NFL Odds to Win Super Bowl 49 For The Miami Dolphins +5000

Even in the midst of one of the biggest scandals in league history, the Miami Dolphins never quit on head coach Joe Philbin in 2013. The Fins finished with a respectable 8-8 record that could have been a double-digit win season had Miami won each of its last two games. That’s the good news.

The bad news is that Miami will have to improve on its consistent middle-of-the-pack rankings on both offense and defense and isn’t quite ready to contend for anything more than a postseason appearance.

The Dolphins ranked 20th in passing and 26th in rushing so Miami ‘s offense could definitely use a tune-up. Defensively, they weren’t much better as they finished the 2013 season ranked 16th against the pass and an uninspiring 24th against the pass.

Miami added veteran running back Knowshon Moreno in the offseason, but he has been outplayed by young running back Lamar Miller in training camp.

"I like everything he’s done, really," Philbin said of Miller. "He’s a guy that this is year three and, as I’ve said before, I think his first year, I want to say he had about 150 yards rushing. Last year, he had around 700-and-change. Now, it’s his third year. He knows the expectations. He knows what the job description and requirements are of a running back in the National Football League. I anticipate he’s going to have a very good season and I think he’s off to a good start."

Miller ran for 250 yards as a rookie and 709 yards last season.

The Fins’ could conceivably reach the postseason after falling agonizingly short last season, but the fact of the matter is that this once-proud franchise has a lengthy climb just to get back to respectability.

Betting On the Miami Dolphins to Win the AFC East

  • New England Patriots -325
  • Miami Dolphins +700
  • New York Jets +900
  • Buffalo Bills +1500

Analysis: Despite their respectable SU record last season, the Dolphins were just 2-4 SU and ATS against their AFC east division rivals last season and that figure looks even worse when you go back even further. Miami is just 3-7 SU and a pitiful 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games against their division rivals.

Having said that, Miami is going to be hard-pressed to beat out the perennially powerful New England Patriots that I believe will represent the AFC in the 2015 Super Bowl. To illustrate the difference in these two franchises, look no further than at Miami ‘s 2-8 SU mark and weak, 4-5-1 ATS mark in their last 10 games against the Pats.

Miami is also 5-5 SU and ATS in its L/10 games against Buffalo and 6-4 SU and ATS in their last 10 games against the New York Jets.

There’s no way…unless Tom Brady gets injured – that Miami wins the AFC East in 2014. I do like the Fins to finish second though, so if you can get divisional order of finish odds, play Miami them to finish second.

My Pick: New England Patriots to win AFC East, Dolphins to finish second.

Betting On the Miami Dolphins to Win In Week One

  • New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins +4
  • Over/Under 47

Not only have the Dolphins lost eight of their last 10 games against New England, but they’ve also gone 4-6 SU and 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 home dates against the Pats, so playing at home doesn’t guarantee them anything against the three-time Super Bowl-winning Patriots.

The Dolphins did split their two regular season games with New England last season, winning 24-20 at home, though New England didn’t have much to play for at that point. The Fins lost on the road at Foxborough 23-17, but both games were extremely closely contested.

Nevertheless, I expect Bill Belichick to help his team find a way to get the narrow SU road win, although I like Miami to get the ATS cover. Miami is 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of four points or less and I would pick them to hold the fort at home in this regular season opener, but I don’t Belichick and Tom Brady are going to get their 2014 NFL regular season started off with a loss.

Play the Pats to get the narrow SU win while Miami bags the ATS payday despite the fact that they are just 2-8 SU and ATS in their last 10 games in the month of September.

My Pick: Miami +4 Points

Miami Dolphins Betting Tips

Like the rest of their AFC East division rivals, Miami will play each of the four, NFC North teams in 2014 and that’s not either god or bad news depending on their history. Miami has compiled a pair of solid marks in going 5-5 SU and ATS in their last 10 games against their NFC North counterparts

The Dolphins are a solid bet when they’re favored by four points or less, having gone 6-4 SU and ATS in their last 10 such games. Things get a lot better for the Dolphins when they’re an underdog of the same figure (4.0 points) or less.

Miami has racked up a stellar 8-2 SU and ATS mark as a dog of four points or less, so when you get the Fins as an underdog of this figure, you might want to throw a ton of cash on the puppy.

Last but not least…I have to say that I’m not a fan of weak-armed starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill. In two seasons and all 32 starts as Miami’s starter, the former Texas A&M signal-caller has thrown 36 touchdown passes – and a whopping 30 interceptions while suffering an absolutely incredible 93 sacks, many of which he held on to the ball too long.

When Tannehill wasn’t getting pounded into the dirt, he was mostly under-throwing speedy wide receiver Mike Wallace. The former Steelers wideout caught just 73 balls for 930 yards , an average of 12.7 yards per catch, which is far too low for a wide receiver as fast as any in the league.

Look for the Dolphins to have some low-scoring affairs against the Pats, Chiefs, Lions and Ravens while scoring than fair share of points against the Bills, Raiders, Bears, Jaguars and Vikings.

2014 Miami Dolphins Projected Starters

 

Offense

Defense

QB

Ryan Tannehill

DE

Cameron Wake

RB

Knowshon Moreno  /  Lamar Miller

DT

Randy Starks

WR1

Mike Wallace

DT

Jared Odrick

WR2

Brian Hartline

DE

Olivier Vernon

WR3

Rishard Matthews  /  Jarvis Landry

SLB

Koa Misi

TE1

Charles Clay

MLB

Dannell Ellerbe

LT

Branden Albert

WLB

Philip Wheeler  /  Dion Jordan

LG

Shelley Smith

CB1

Brent Grimes

C

Mike Pouncey

CB2

Cortland Finnegan  /  Jamar Taylor

RG

Billy Turner  /  Dallas Thomas

SS

Reshad Jones

RT

Ja’Wuan James

FS

Louis Delmas