US Open Tennis Odds & Predictions

US Open Tennis Odds & Predictions

US Open Tennis Odds & Predictions

With a handful of legitimate contenders joining the usual favorites, the 2014 U.S. Open appears to be a bit more wide-open than usual – at least  on the men’s side of the dual-gender major.

If you’ve been keeping up with the Emirates Airline U.S. Open Series over the past month, then you probably already know who some of these legitimate contenders are. If not, then this betting breakdown will give you all the information you’ll need in order to makes a series of well-informed wagers. 

2014 Odds to Win Men’s U.S. Open

The Favorites

Roger Federer +200 
Fed fans everywhere are fired up after seeing their guy take home the trophy this past weekend at the Cincinnati Western and Southern Open and finish second to Jo-Wilfred Tsonga one week earlier at the Rogers Cup in Toronto. Maybe it’s me, but I’m thinking the World No.3 (49-9) is the odds-on-favorite to win this year’s tourney.

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +1800 
My man Jo-Willie (30-14) blew the field away en route to taking home the hardware in Toronto on Aug. 10. Tsonga beat four Top 10 opponents in four days en route to title, including Djokovic, Murray, Dimitrov and Federer.

Oh, Tsonga also broke an 11-match losing streak to Djoker  and a 10-match losing streak against Top 10 opponents. Sure, Tsonga lost to Mikhail Youzhny in the first round at Cincinnati, but if you saw how he overwhelmed the field in Toronto, then you know he’s got a very legitimate chance.

Novak Djokovic -150 
I don’t know what’s wrong with Novak Djokovic (39-6) right now, but he’s been a different player since coming back from getting married a few weeks back. Sure, he’s won four titles this year, including the 2014 Wimbledon title.

However, Djokovic was dominated in his 2-6, 2-6 loss to Tsonga in the round of 16 at Toronto before getting smacked around by 32-year-old veteran Tommy Robredo in the same round at Cincinnati 6-7 (6), 5-7. There’s no doubt that Djokovic could turn things around in a hurry when he arrives in New York, but things aren’t exactly looking peachy right now for the sweet-swinging Serbian.

It Could Happen!

Andy Murray +350 
Murray battled brilliantly to reach the finals at Cincinnati…even though he didn’t play fantastic tennis.

Stan Wawrinka +1000 
Wawrinka won the Aussie Open in January on a similar surface.

Grigor Dimitrov +1200 
Dimitrov (38-12) reached the fourth round at the Aussie Open in January and won his second ATP World Tour title in three-set, three-hour win over Kevin Anderson in Acapulco in March. The young Bulgarian also reached the semis at Wimbledon, beating Andy Murray in the quarters to get there.

Milos Raonic +2000
Raonic is the first ATP player born in the 90s to win multiple ATP Titles and will have a chance to win here with his serve often exceeding 140 mph. The 23-year-old Canadian reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at Roland Garros before going one step further to make the semis at Wimbledon. At a value-packed +2000, I believe Raonic is definitely worth backing to cash in as the outright winner.

Contenders

  • Marin Cilic +9000
  • Nick Kyrgios +9000
  • David Ferrer +6000 
  • John Isner +9000
  • Richard Gasquet +12500 
  • Tomas Berdych +4500 
  • Gael Monfils +12500 
  • Jerzy Janowicz +9000 
  • Ernest Gulbis +7000 
  • Bernard Tomic +15000 
  • Kevin Anderson +15000 

Analysis: I really like Marin Cilic and Nick Kyrgios here as both players possess plenty of the weapons that are undoubtedly necessary beat one of the favorites. I know John Isner has a huge serve and everything, but his lack of quality movement clearly holds him back.

In the end…I’m going with fed to finish first, followed by Jo-Wilfred Tsonga and then, Novak Djokovic and Milos Raonic.

2014 Odds to Win Women’s U.S. Open

  • Serena Williams +125 
  • Ana Ivanovic +3000 
  • Simona Halep +650 
  • Eugenie Bouchard +800 
  • Maria Sharapova +500 
  • Victoria Azarenka +900 
  • Sloane Stephens +3500 
  • Petra Kvitova +900 
  • Agnieszka Radwanska +2000 
  • Sam Stosur +4500 
  • Angelique Kerber +3500 
  • Caroline Wozniacki +2000 
  • Madison Keys +4500 
  • Venus Williams +3000 
  • Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +15000 
  • Jelena Jankovic +10000 
  • Dominika Cilbulkova +6000 
  • Garbine Muguruza +3500 
  • Alize Cornet +15000 

Analysis: Well, there’s no sense in beating around the bush. On the WTA Tour, there’s World No.1 Serena Williams – and then there’s everyone else. Williams is 38-6 right now, but hasn’t won a major this year, so you had better believe she is going to bring her ‘A’ game at this year’s U.S. Open.

In addition to not winning a major, Williams can also earn a jaw-dropping $4 million by winning the U.S. Open as part of the annual U.S. Open Series. I don’t see a whole lot of sense in writing about anyone else as I just don’t see Williams losing, but there are a handful of legitimate contenders.

There’s World No. 6 Maria Sharapova, but wait…she’s lost 15 straight matches to Williams. Well, then there’s World No.3 Li Na…but, oh, she’s winless against Williams in her career.

Well how about World No. 17 Victoria Azarenka, but she’s missed months due to a foot injury and was last seen losing to Camila Giorgi in the first round at Eastbourne prior to Wimbledon in June.

My top three contenders to potentially upset Williams are World No. 9 Ana Ivanovic, World No.2 Simona Halep and World No. 8 Eugenie Bouchard.

Ivanovic (47-13) beat Williams in January at the Australian open, but Williams got some revenge last week at Cincinnati by beating the Serbian 6-4, 6-1 in the finals at the Western and Southern Open in Cincinnati.

World No. 2 Simona Halep (38-11) has the attitude and game to beat anyone, but she’s yet to overcome Maria Sharapova this year, losing to the Russian three times – after taking the opening set.

Last but not least, I like World No. 8 Eugenie Bouchard and believe the 20-year-old Canadian has the game – and more importantly – the mental fortitude – to bring home the bacon, if Williams falters which I beilieve she will.

I’m going with Eugenie Bouchard at +800 to win it.