UFC 249 Odds & Betting Analysis

UFC 175 Expert Picks Highlight Trio of Value Bets

Mixed martial arts and the UFC will be back in the spotlight this coming weekend when UFC 175 takes place live from the at Mandalay Bay Events Center in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, July 5th, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

UFC 175 – Chris Weidman vs Lyoto Machida & Ronda Rousey vs. Alexis Davis
Weidman vs. Machida pits Undefeated Chris All-American Weidman vs Lyoto The Dragon Machida fight in Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States on Jul 5, 2014.
Starts: 07/05/2014 7:00PM
Mandalay Bay
Las Vegas

Better yet, you’re going to have a great chance to cash in with at least three potentially bankroll-boosting bets thanks to this fun-filled trio of UFC 175 betting expert picks from yours truly.

Reigning middleweight champ Chris Weidman will make his first appearance in the octagon since successfully defending his title against the incomparable Anderson Silva in December.

He will face veteran UFC middleweight Lyoto ‘The Dragon’ Machida in the main event while fight fans will also be treated to another thrilling Ronda Rousey affair when the women’s bantamweight champion battles black belt Brazilian jiu-jitsu star Alexis Davis and Stefan Struve takes on Matt Mitrione in a heavyweight affair that will help the winner move another step closer to their coveted title shot.

Sturve Vs Mitrione UFC 175 Odds

Stefan ‘Skyscraper’ Struve -205
Matt Mitrione +165

Division: Heavyweight 
Records: Stefan Struve (25-6), Matt Mitrione (7-3)

Stefan Struve will make his return to the UFC after missing several months because of a heart issue that has now been resolved.

When he last took to the ring, the seven-foot Struve was on the wrong end of a third round knockout loss to Mark Hunt (punches) in March that snapped a four-fight winning streak. Mitrione is just 2-3 over his last five bouts in which he’s also suffered one submission loss, one KO loss and one decision defeat.

I say Stefan Struve uses his superior reach and size advantage to pull out a win against a fighter that seems to be hanging on more than actually succeeding.
Prediction: Stefan Struve by second round KO

Rousey Vs. Davis UFC 175 Odds

‘Rowdy’ Ronda Rousey -1400
Alexis ‘Ally-Gator’ Davis +750

Division: Women’s bantamweight
Records: Ronda Rousey (9-0), Alexis Davis (16-5)

Alexis Davis might be a BJJ master that holds a prestigious black belt in the fighting genre, but she has lost five fights and it’s kind of hard seeing any fighter that has lost that many bouts beating the incomparable Ronda Rousey. Davis has won five straight fights and all, but I just don’t see how she can beat an experienced fighter like Rousey.

While Rousey won her last fight at UFC 170 in February by beating Sara McMann via first round TKO (knee to the body) she has also taken the armbar submission and made it her own signature finishing move and I expect her to get back to finishing off her opponents like that after winning each of her first eight fights via armbar submissions.

Only one fighter has ever even made I to the second round, so, that would be quite an accomplishment in itself.

Prediction: Ronda Rousey via second round submission (armbar)

Weidman Vs. Machida UFC 175 Odds

Chris ‘All-American’ Weidman -200
Lyoto ‘The Dragon’ Machida +160

Division: Middleweight
Records: Chris Weidman (11-0), Lyoto Machida (21-4)

Lyoto Machida has been one of my favorite MMA fighters for years now, but there’s no way I see him beating Chris Weidman in this bout despite the fact that he’s won each of his last two fights, including a unanimous decision win over Gegard Mousasi in February.

The fact of the matter is that Machida is now a quickly-aging 36-years-old while the 30-year-old Weidman is apparently still on his way up. His KO win over Anderson Silva in July of last year, followed up by his commanding rematch win in December, makes the outcome of this bout more of a lock than anything else.

Prediction: Chris Weidman, via third round KN (punches)

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