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UFC 186 Fight Card Betting Analysis

The UFC returns to Montreal, Quebec, Canada for the first time in over two years on Saturday, April 25, with flyweight champion Demetrious “Mighty Mouse” Johnson headlining the UFC 186 card against challenger Kyoji Horiguchi.

A winner of seven straight and undefeated at 125 pounds, Johnson (21-2-1, 9-1-1 UFC) is a heavy UFC betting favorite at -1000 over Horguichi who is listed at +650." Mighty Mouse" has evolved into one of MMA’s top pound-for-pound fighters. His opponent Horiguchi (15-1, 4-0 UFC), who fights out of Tokyo, Japan, comes from a Karate background, and will be a challenge for Johnson in the Octagon.

Matchup: UFC 186 Demetrious “Mighty Mouse” Johnson vs Kyoji Horiguchi
Date: Apr. 25, 2015 
Start Time: 8:00 p.m. ET 
Location: Montreal, Québec
Stadium: Bell Centre
TV Info: UFC Network
Stream: UFC Fight Pass
Moneyline: Johnson -1000 vs Horiguchi +650
Over/Under: 4.5

A Closer Look At The UFC 186 Betting Card

Johnson vs. Horiguchi

The Flyweight Title Fight pits a fighter with excellent submission skills versus one who’s a knockout artist. Demetrious “Mighty Mouse” Johnson knocks out his opponents 19% of the time and forces them to submit 38% of the time. Kyoji Horiguchi knocks out his opponents 60% of the time. There is a reason that Johnson is -1000 to win this fight. It’s called experience. Horiguchi may not last a round.

Bisping vs. Dollaway

This should be one of the closer fights on the main event card with Bisping at -150 to beat Dollaway. Michael Bisping isn’t nearly as feared as he used to be but his KO percentage of 65% makes him a difficult guy for Dollaway to handle. The Doberman, that’s Dollaway, is much more accurate with his strikes, 47.2% compared to 39% for Bisping, but he lands almost 2 less per minute. Bisping is the pick at fair odds.

Maldonado vs. Bosse

Number 13 ranked Fabio Maldonado is at -260 in most sportsbooks to take down new to the UFC Steve Bosse. Bosse is a former hockey player. It’s very difficult for someone from a different sport to learn all of the intricacies involved with MMA Fighting. There is no way that Bosse is going to be able to stand toe-to-toe with an MMA Pro like Maldonado. Maldonado should pummel Bosse in this battle unless Bosse has learned how to grapple.

Makdessi vs. Campbell

The striker, John “The Bull” Makdessi, is the favorite at -180. He’s going to be tough in this fight because he wins his bouts 67% of the time. Shane Campbell, who doesn’t have a nickname according to the UFC site, only knocks-out his opponents 45% of the time. Campbell also has the ability to fight on the ground and submit his opponents. But Campbell is going to have a heck of a time keeping a guy that connects on 48% of his strikes from doing damage to him. Makdessi is the play.

Jabouin vs. Almeida

Almeida is the second biggest favorite on the Main Card at -450 and for good reason. He is undefeated in 18 bouts. He has both the knockout power and submission skills to win. Almeida lands 8 strikes a minute and his striking percentage is 55.3%. He should win easily.

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