UFC 246 is going to be big thanks to the return of the Notorious Irishman who set to take on the Cowboy. After all but retiring Conor McGregor is back in the octagon to face Donald Cerrone in what will be the biggest fight in the history of the UFC.
UFC 246 Main Card Odds & Analysis
Anthony Pettis +215 vs Diego Ferreira -255
22-9 Anthony Pettis battles 16-2 Diego Ferreira to kick off the UFC 246 Main Card. Pettis is an inch taller than Ferreira. But Ferreira has a 1 ½ inch reach advantage. Ferreira lands more significant strikes and has better takedown defense. Pettis will try to get this fight to the mat. Ferreira will maintain a distance where he can land and Pettis can’t. Once Anthony gets too aggressive, Ferreira will make him pay.
Claudia Gadelha -105 vs Alexa Grasso -115
Gadelha-Grasso projects as one of the more competitive fights on the UFC 246 card. Gadelha has 16 wins and 4 losses. Grasso has 11 wins and 2 losses. Although Gadelha will fight hard, she’s up against it versus Grasso. Alexa has a reach advantage and a leg reach advantage. She lands more strikes per minute. Grasso should use both her reach advantages to stay away from Gadelha’s power shots. As long as Grasso keeps the fight off the ground, she wins.
Aleksei Oleinik +110 vs Maurice Greene -130
Greene’s the favorite because he steps into the Octagon with physical advantages. Greene is 6’ 7” while Oleinik is 6’ 2”. Maurice has an 82-inch reach. Aleksei has an 80” reach. Greene even has a 1-inch leg reach advantage.
Although Greene has the physical advantages, he lacks experience. Maurice is 8-4 while Oleinik is 57-12-1. If Aleksei can weather Greene’s initial stand-up attack, he can win this fight. The longer it goes, the more it favors Aleksei. Give Oleinik a shot to push Greene into a wrestling match. Once that happens, Oleinik should find a way to force Greene to submit.
Holly Holm -135 vs Raquel Pennington +115
Holm-Pennington is a classic MMA matchup between a stand-up artist, Holm, and a ground game specialist, Pennington. Holm heads into this match on a downturn. She beat Megan Anderson via decision at UFC 225. She lost her last bout, though.
Few fighters can hang with Amanda Nunes. Amanda knocked Holly out in Round 1 at UFC 239. Can Holm get back on the winning track against Raquel Pennington? She should. Holm can use her boxing skills to keep this fight in the stand-up. Raquel won’t have much success taking Holm down. Holly prevents takedowns 78% of the time. Give the win to Holly Holm.
Conor McGregor -300 vs Donald Cerrone +250
Conor is a massive favorite to beat Cowboy in the UFC 246 Main Event. McGregor has a 21-4 record while Cerrone’s record is 36-13. Conor hopes to knock out Cerrone while Donald will work to get McGregor to the ground.
But even if Cerrone gets McGregor to the mat, he might lose. Conor’s got decent grappling skills to go with his striking ability. Although McGregor lost his last fight, we can’t hold that against him. He faced undefeated champion Khabib Nurmagomedov. Conor takes a step down in class on Jan. 12. He’ll KO Donald Cerrone in Round 1 or Round 2.