UFC 249 Odds & Betting Analysis

UFC Fight Night London Picks – Gustafsson vs. Manuwa

If you’re looking for a breakdown of the upcoming bout between Alexander Gustafsson and Jimi Manuwa, then you’ve come to the right place. This seems like a somewhat academic choice at first, but if you know anything about Manuwa then you understand how difficult it is to leverage a UFC Fight Night London pick against him.

This card comes to you Saturday, March 8th from the O2 Arena in London, England. Check your local listings and the sportsbook for fight times and find a way to watch this main event. It’s going to be awesome.

UFC Fight Night London
Alexander Gustafsson takes on Jimi Manuwa in the octogon in London from the O2 Arena.
Starts: 03/08/2014 8:00PM
O2 Arena, Peninsula Square
United Kingdom

Alexander Gustafsson -475 vs. Jimi Manuwa +350

If you don’t know who Alexander Gustafsson is by now, then get out from under that rock and go watch his title fight against reigning light heavyweight champion Jon Jones this instant. The Swedish swing kicker is undoubtedly one of the best fighters in the world and is still considered by everyone to be the top contender to Jones in this division. Unfortunately, the UFC had already arranged Glover Teixeira to face the winner of the Jones-Gustafsson match so the rematch that everyone wants to see will have to wait.

Originally, UFC Fight Night picks revolved around a Gustafsson-Nogeuria mega fight, but the Brazilian powerhouse pulled out due to an injury and apparently never signed on for the fight in the first place. Either way, as long as Gustafsson wins this fight he’s due for another title fight. That is, of course, if he can get past Manuwa this Saturday in London.

So who exactly is Jimi Manuwa? He’s an undefeated fighter at 14-0 SU who has won his last four fights by TKO. Three of those fights have been in the UFC. Obviously Manuwa isn’t the big name that people are pining to see Gustafsson fight, but make no mistake – this guy is dangerous. His last four fights weren’t just knockouts, they were stopped due to injury (twice), a doctor stoppage and a guy quitting after the first round.

Manuwa feels like a throw in to some casual fight fans, but those that stay close to the sport know that this guy is a freaking killer. I mean, he’s main eventing a UFC card against one of the best fighters in the world. Do you really think White would just send some poor cow out to slaughter on an international stage like that? If you do, then you don’t know White.

Gustafsson is a great, technical fighter but so is his opponent this weekend. And when you talk about knockout power, some of Manuwa’s knee shots and right hooks come to my mind immediately. All in all, this is a much more even fight than people estimate and if Gustafsson gets caught looking past the threat standing in front of him, he’s in for a seriously rude awakening. I prefer Manuwa here on a safe play rather than trying to bank on Gustafsson’s inflated odds.

This fight will be better than you think.

UFC Fight Night Picks – Manuwa

Other UFC Fight Night London Picks

Michael Johnson -120 over Melvin Guillard -110

Johnson is coming off a two fight winning streak while Guillard is spiraling quickly in to a hole after going 2-4 (1) in his last seven fights. I still think that the latter is a great fighter, but he was lucky to beat Mac Danzig last July. Michael Johnson won’t afford those same kind of mistakes.

Brad Pickett -675 over Neil Seery +475

Hard to make money on this fight, but Picket is the take no matter what local boy Seery brings to the table.

Posted in UFC