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Odds To Win UFC 188: Velasquez Vs Werdum

Two of the baddest men on the planet will step inside the fabled octagon on Saturday to face-off in UFC 188’s main event and queue the mind games. UFC 188 takes place in Arena Ciudad de Mexico, in Mexico this Saturday Night and Cain Velasquez is a heavy -485 favorite to beat Fabrico Werdum (+385). Click here for full fight card betting odds.

Fight fans and stone-cold professional sports gamblers have long awaited this fight which was originally scheduled for UFC 180 last November and finally we get to watch these two master grapplers with contrasting styles and strong striking offenses face-off, and now it’s to unify the world heavyweight championship.

Interim champion Werdum (19-5-1 MMA, 7-2 UFC) has stirred the pot with his recent comments about the man who holds the official title by saying that he feels “more Mexican” than Velasquez, citing support from the local crowd and the fact that he’s been to Mexico more than 20 times and that his opponent is "an American who thinks he is Mexican."

Dem be fighting words!

Apparently, those comments also got to Velasquez (13-1 MMA, 11-1 UFC), who according to Werdum refused to shake hands at breakfast on Tuesday.

A Closer Look At UFC Betting Odds To Win UFC 188 Cain Velasquez Vs Fabricio Werdum

Event: UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Date: June. 13, 2015
Start Time: 9:00 PM ET
Location: Mexico, DF
Stadium: Arena Ciudad de Mexico
TV Info: PPV
Stream: UFC Fight Pass
Money Line: Velasquez -485 vs Werdum +385
Round Total: 2.5

Cain Velasquez Will Beat Fabricio Werdum If

Velasquez can overcome the rust of a long layover

13 and 1 Cain Velasquez appears to have an edge over Fabricio Werdum in almost every important category save for one. Velasquez hasn’t fought since October 19, 2013. That’s a lot of inactivity for a fighter.

In contrast, Fabricio Werdum has had 2 fights since Velasquez’s last fight. A 600 day layoff is a long time for a guy getting into the Octagon to face such a tough fighter like Fabricio Werdum. Velasquez will, no doubt, be in perfect condition, but will he be ready to fight for a title after so much time off? That’s the big question. The Velasquez a few years ago would have dominated a guy like Werdum with his awesome ability to take down fighters and his incredible striking, but after such a long layoff, the question is valid. Cain Velasquez should win the fight if he isn’t rusty. If he is rusty, it might be a long night for Cain.

Fabricio Werdum Will Beat Cain Velasquez If

Werdum can protect himself from being struck at will

85% of Velasquez’s wins have come via KO. Velasquez connects on an average of 6.1 strikes per minute. His takedown average is 5.28 while his takedown accuracy is at 44.3%. Werdum’s numbers don’t come close to Cain’s.

Werdum only connects on 3.04 strikes per minute while his takedown accuracy is 32.56%. But, Werdum is a better fighter on the ground since 47% of his victories have come via submission. For Werdum to win this fight, he’s going to have to get Cain on the ground and force a submission. Werdum will have to be tactical in how he strikes; he can’t leave himself open to Cain’s vicious ability to knock out an opponent with a barrage of strikes. If Werdum isn’t able to make this a ground war, it could end up being a Velasquez victory.

UFC 188 Main Event Prediction – Cain Velasquez Round 4 TKO  

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