UFC 249 Odds & Betting Analysis

UFC Welterweight Title Fight Betting Odds & More

The main event at UFC 171 features Johny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler vying for the welterweight title that was left behind when Georges St-Pierre abruptly left the promotion. There are also two other welterweight fight betting odds worth taking on the main card, with a great lightweight matchup to boot. Let’s get to the main action.

UFC 171
Live from Dallas Texas, UFC 171 features Johny Hendricks and Robbie Lawler vying for the welterweight title.
Starts: 03/15/2014 8:00PM
American Airlines Center, 2500 Victory Ave,
Dallas, Texas

UFC Welterweight Title Fight Betting Odds

Johny Hendricks -400 over Robbie Lawler +300

With Georges St-Pierre off doing it is whatever he’s doing, the UFC Welterweight Championship fight this weekend will be for the vacant title and Hendricks is a reasonably heavy favorite in terms of betting odds. It’s almost impossible to bet against Hendricks in this one, especially when one judge’s idiotic vision of his last title fight deprived him of the coveted belt.

Hendricks is 15-2 SU in his illustrious career and hasn’t really lost outright ever. He gave up a unanimous decision defeat against Rick Story in December of 2010 and since then has pretty much won every single fight. We can argue about whether he did enough to beat St-Pierre at UFC 167 but it’s damn debatable.

The UFC Welterweight fight betting odds are giving Lawler 3-to-1 chances of coming out on top, and I wouldn’t necessarily sleep on him but I also wouldn’t invest in his side. Lawler is coming off a split decision victory of his own against Rory McDonald at UFC 167 and hasn’t exactly beaten anyone that amazing in his 22-9 SU career. Hell, I’m not even sure if Lawler is the best candidate for a title fight. His last marquee victory was against Josh Koscheck at UFC 157, and it’s arguable that Koscheck hasn’t been the same fighter for years already.

This is Hendricks’ title to lose quite frankly. He is a suburb striker and tactician and has a gas tank that I can have the utmost faith in. I’m sick and tired of fighters getting gassed one or two rounds in to a fight, and Hendricks seems like he can go for days. He’ll pepper Lawler and get a reasonable feel for him before ending this fight in the third round via knockout. I’m dead serious.

Usually when it comes to betting odds like this, I tell you to go with the challenger on a chip shot because there’s always a “puncher’s chance” and the risk-to-profit ratio is just much more attractive. But Hendricks is so ready to be champion that it isn’t funny. In his mind, I’m sure he already is one and if anything he may be the people’s champ. The only way to make money on these UFC welterweight title fight betting odds is to back Hendricks, because there’s no way he loses this fight. Swing away.

Tyron Woodley +150 over Carlos Condit -180

Woodley is a beast and should be undefeated in his last three fights, all of which have been in the UFC. He unfairly lost a split decision to Jake Shields at UFC 161 and rebounded by knocking out Josh Koscheck at UFC 167. The only reason that Condit has the stronger UFC welterweight fight betting odds is because he’s the name commodity in this one. Woodley, however, is a much stronger bet especially as the dog. Take Woodley and don’t look back.

Myles Jury -180 over Diego Sanchez +150

You may not know Myles Jury, and that’s fine, but he’s undefeated at 13-0 SU and has all the tools to be an outright menace in the lightweight division. Diego Sanchez has been around for so long that it fees like he should’ve retired five years ago, and considering how his recent fights have gone he probably should have. At 3-4 SU in his last 7 fights, Sanchez is struggling against the best and brightest in the UFC and Jury will be able to make a name for himself against one of the talents that just loves to get the crap kicked out of him. The Jury is in!

Hector Lombardi -200 over Jake Shields +165

When Shields migrated to the UFC, he was supposed to be the “next main guy” and has never lived up to his billing. He has three split decision victories over Kampmann, Woodley and Demian Maia in his tenure and has also lost to Jake Ellenberger and was wiped out by St-Pierre. The only notable victory he had was when he beat Yoshihiro Akiyama at UFC 144. That was two years ago. I have never liked Shields and I probably never will, and now it’s obvious that Dana White is through protecting him.

Lombardi has two recent losses, but both were questionable split decisions and his recent evisceration of Nate Marquardt at UFC 166 proved that he’s ready to take the next step. He has an excessive amount of experience at 33-4-1 SU and the fact that he’s favored so heavily over a name guy like Shields in UFC welterweight fight betting odds should tell you everything you need to know about the quality he brings to the octagon.

Posted in UFC