Germany vs. Algeria Expert World Cup PicksJosh Bailey
Germany has looked absolutely phenomenal in going 2-1-0 against their group G, ‘Group of Death’ opponents and enter the knockout stage as one of the prohibitive favorites to hoist the 2014 World Cup championship trophy.
Led by elite striker Thomas Muller (four goals), Germany blasted Cristiano Ronaldo 4-0 in its cup opener before playing a very talented Ghana squad to a 2-all draw in their second match. Germany then held off an underrated USA men’s team to win 1-0 in its group stage finale to reach the knockout stage. Click here for more World Cup betting odds.
Germany vs. Algeria Betting Line
Where: Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre, Brazil
When: Monday, June 30, 2014, 4:00PM ET
Line: Germany (-1½, -115) vs. Algeria (+1½, -105)
Over/Under Total: 3
Germany midfielder Lukas Podolski ruled out for Algeria clash with leg injury. http://t.co/93ohygYjYn
— FOX Soccer (@FOXSoccer) June 28, 2014
“There isn’t a team in the world that wouldn’t like to have Thomas Müller on its side,” U.S. Men’s coach Jurgen Klinsmann said. “He is a remarkable player.” German head coach Joachim Löw gave Muller heaping praise for his fitness, work rate – and most of all – his finishing ability.
“He is mentally strong, a very smart player who always seems able to find space, but physically he is in great shape as well,” Low said. He is the one who runs the most kilometres but he makes it look easy, even the heat doesn’t seem to affect him.”
Germany is averaging 2.3 goals per match on an average of 12.3 shots attempts per game while connecting on 60 percent of their attempts. However, it is the team’s underrated defense that has really gotten the job done for this elite Cup contender. Germany has allowed just two goals – and not many scoring chances for their mostly overwhelmed opponents. According to fivethirtyeight.com, Germany has a fantastic 82 percent chance of getting out of the knockout round.
Muller the Golden Boot winner in 2010 with five goals, is tied with Brazil’s Neymar and Argentina’s Lionel Messi with a tournament-high four goals. Not only that, but Germany has another superstar performer in veteran striker Miroslav Close, a player that has scored a record-tying 15 goals in World Cup play.
"I am so happy for Miroslav for drawing level with Ronaldo," Joachim Low, the Germany manager, said. "He was only on the pitch for two minutes when he scored. It is sensational for his career. He’s had a difficult season and been injured a few times but it was a great moment for him, for the team and for me. His secret is his incredible professionalism; his strength is his will."
Algeria reached the knockout round, mostly on luck – and fan interference if you ask me. After losing to Belgium 2-1 in its World Cup opener, the Desert Foxes pounded weakling Korea into submission to win 3-1.
Last but not least, Algeria was able to reach the knockout round by tying Russia 1-1 in its final group stage match on Thursday, but the fact of the matter is that Russian keeper Igor Akinfeev was affected by a pointer laser coming from the crowd just moments before Algeria’s match-tying goal and I genuinely believe it affected the embattled keeper.
Nevertheless, Algeria scored six goals while allowing five goals. The well-rounded Desert Foxes will almost certainly try to employ the conservative and defensive approach they used in their narrow loss against Belgium.
Striker Islam Slimani has two goals this tournament and he will need to be active, along with winger Sofiane Feghouli, if the Algerian men hope to pull off the huge upset. Algeria is connecting on 60 percent of its shot attempts, though they average just 8.7 shots per contest.
Germany vs. Algeria Betting Line Pick:
Germany is still my pick to win the entire 2014 World Cup and I see absolutely no reason I should think otherwise right now. The Germans are too talented, too well-coached and too experienced to lose this match against an Algerian team that likely shouldn’t even be here in the first place.