Breaking Down The 2015 New England Patriots

What should of been a celebratory offseason for the New England Patriots after winning their fourth Lombardi Trophy under the trinity of owner Robert Kraft, head-coach Bill Belichick and QB Tom Brady ended in the conterversy of deflate-gate.

Last season the Pats stared out at 2-2 and were under the microscope after their embarassing 41-14 loss to KC in week 4 as they struggled to right the ship which they did by finishing the season 12-4, which took them to the Super Bowl and a win over theĀ Seattle Seahawks and ‘Ballghazi’.

With their season at stake, Brady may be suspended for up to four games for his role or lack of role in the under-flated balls. The decision is under appeal. How many games will backups Jimmy Garoppolo or Matt Flynn start in Brady's absence? Even with that huge question mark looming over New England, the NFL odds makers have the Pats at 17/2 odds to win Super Bowl 50.

New England Patriots 2015 Betting Preview

Can the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots continue their dominance of the league?

  • 2014 Season Summary: 12-4-0, Finished 1st in AFC East Division, Super Bowl 49 champions.
  • Points Scored: 468 points (29.2/g), 4th of 32 in the NFL.
  • Points Allowed: 313 points (19.6/g), 8 th best.
  • Head Coach: Bill Belichick
  • Offensive Coordinator: Josh McDaniels
  • Defensive Coordinator: Matt Patricia
  • Stadium: Gillette Stadium

New England Patriots 2015 Betting Odds:

  • To Win Super Bowl 50 +900
  • To Win the AFC +350
  • To Win the AFC East -150

New England Patriots Betting Trends:

  • 2014 Overall Against the Spread Record: 9-7
  • ATS Record at home: 5-3
  • ATS Record away from home: 4-4
  • ATS Record as favorites: 5-6
  • ATS Record as underdogs: 4-1
  • Over/Under Record: 9-7

AFC East 2014 Standings:

AFC East W L T PCT PF PA HOME ROAD DIV PCT AFC PCT NFC STREAK
New England 12 4 0 .750 468 313 7-1 5-3 4-2 .667 9-3 .750 3-1 Lost 1
Buffalo 9 7 0 .562 343 289 5-3 4-4 4-2 .667 5-7 .417 4-0 Won 1
Miami 8 8 0 .500 388 373 4-4 4-4 3-3 .500 6-6 .500 2-2 Lost 1
N.Y. Jets 4 12 0 .250 283 401 2-6 2-6 1-5 .167 4-8 .333 0-4 Won 1

2015 New England Patriots Offense:

The New England Patriots' offense is currently in the midst of a decade-long dominance of the AFC and the league as a whole, matching that of the most dominant units in NFL history. Brady is coming off a Super Bowl in which he shrugged off all talk of age, no-name offense and a patch-work defense. Are the Patriots primed for another elite output in 2015?

In 2014, the Patriots had the 11th-ranked total offense in the league with an offense run by OC Josh McDaniels. The offensive line gave QB Tom Brady (4109 yards, 33 TDs, 9 INTs & 97.4 rating) enough time to lead the 9th best passing offense in the league with envy-enducing target of TE Rob Gronkowski (82 rec, 1124 yards, 12 TDs), who finally remained healthy after a few years of missing games due to injury. Add WR Julian Edelman (92 rec, 972 yards, 4 TDS) and newcomer WR Brandon LaFell (74 rec, 953 yards, 7 TDs) who took few games to become Brady's goto deep target and he should only build on his repore with Brady in his second season with the team. The offense added WR Brandon Gibson (29 rec, 295 yards 1 TDs) from the Miami Dolphins and TE Scott Chandler (47 rec, 497 yards, 3 TDs) from the Buffalo Bills in the offseason.

The Pats ranked 18th running the football using the infamous running back by commitee last season. The mid-season aquisition of RB LeGarrette Blount (125 att, 547 yards, 5 TDs) --who was cut from the Steelers -- will eaes the loss of fan favorites RB Shane Vereen to the NY Giants and RB Stevan Ridley to the NY Jets on a one-year deal. RB Jonas Gray (89 att, 412 yards, 5 TDs) will most likely back up Blount who has earned the respect of both Belichick and McDaniels.

  • Key Additions: TE Scott Chandler, WR Kevin Dorsey, WR Brandon Gibson, TE Fred Davis.
  • Key Departures: RB Stevan Ridley, RB Shane Vereen.

Projected 2015 Patriots Offensive Starters:

  • QB Tom Brady
  • WR Brandon LaFell
  • WR Julian Edelman
  • WR Danny Amendola
  • TE Rob Gronkowski
  • RB LeGarrette Blount
  • LT Nate Solder
  • LG Josh Kline
  • C Bryan Stork
  • RG Ryan Wendell
  • RT Sebatian Vollmer

2015 New England Patriots Defense:

In 2014 the Patriots D, especially the seconday, was finally good enough to win, not early 2000s good, but good enough. After years of patchwork secondaries and anemic pass rushes, everything came together for the Pats defense in 2014. But a year later the realities of a salary cap era made the Pats championship D a one hit wonder and a lot of key pieces have moved on.

In 2014 New England was ranked 13th in total defense, 17th against the pass, and 9th against the run. But losses of defensive tackle Vince Wilfork (Houston Texans), CB Darrelle Revis (NY Jets), CB Brandon Browner (New Orleans Saints and OLB Akeem Ayers (St. Louis Rams) in the free agency will leave big holes to plug again.

The team was able to resign FS Devin McCourty and brought in CB Bradley Fletcher from the Philadelphia Eagles. The Patriots used their first pick, 32nd overall, in the 2015 NFL draft to select Longhorn DT Malcom Brown, who maybe be the steal of the draft. New England used five of their ten draft picks, including the first four, for defensive depth.

  • Key Additions: DB Chimdi Chekwa, CB Bradley Fletcher, LB Jonathan Freeney, CB Robert McClain, OLB Jabaal Sheard.
  • Key Departures: OLB Akeem Ayers, CB Brandon Browner, CB Darrelle Revis, NT Vince Wilfork.

Projected 2015 Patriots' Defensive Roster (Base 4-3 D):

  • DE Rob Ninkovich
  • DE Chandler Jones
  • DT Domenique Easley
  • DT Sealver Siliga
  • OLB Jamie Collins
  • OLB Dont'a Hightower
  • CB Malcolm Butler
  • CB Bradley Fletcher
  • SS Patrick Chung
  • FS Devin McCourty

New England Patriots 2015 Draft Class:

  • Round 1, Pick 32: DT Malcom Brown, Texas (71 tackles, 6.5 sacks)
  • Round 2, Pick 64: S Jordan Richards, Stanford (79 tackles, 3 INTs)
  • Round 3, Pick 97: DE Geneo Grissom, Oklahoma (39 tackles 3.5 sacks)
  • Round 4, Pick 101: DE Trey Flowers, Arkansas (68 tackles, 6.0 sacks)
  • Round 4, Pick 111: G Tre' Jackson, Florida State
  • Round 4, Pick 131: C Shaq Mason, Georgia Tech
  • Round 5, Pick 166: LS Joe Cardona, Navy
  • Round 6, Pick 178: OLB Matt Wells, Mississippi State (45 tackles, 4.0 sacks)
  • Round 6, Pick 202: TE AJ Derby, Arkansas (22 rec, 303 yards, 3 TDs)
  • Round 7, Pick 247: CB Darryl Roberts, Marshall (75 tackles, 1 INTS)
  • Round 7, Pick 253: DE Xzavier Dickson, Alabama (42 tackles, 9.0 sacks)

New England Patriots 2015 Schedule and Point Spreads:

  • Week 1 Thu, Sep 10, (NE -2.5) vs Pittsburgh 8:30 PM | NBC
  • Week 2 Sun, Sep 20 (NE -1) @ Buffalo 1:00 PM | CBS
  • Week 3 Sun, Sep 27 (NE -11.5) vs Jacksonville 1:00 PM | CBS
  • Week 4 BYE WEEK
  • Week 5 Sun, Oct 11 (NE pick'em) @ Dallas 4:25 PM | CBS
  • Week 6 Sun, Oct 18 (NE +1) @ Indianapolis 8:30 PM | NBC
  • Week 7 Sun, Oct 25 (NE -8.5) vs New York Jets 1:00 PM | CBS
  • Week 8 Thu, Oct 29 (NE -5.5) vs Miami 8:25 PM | CBS/NFL
  • Week 9 Sun, Nov 8 (NE -8.5) vs Washington 1:00 PM | FOX
  • Week 10 Sun, Nov 15 (NE -1.5) @ New York Giants 4:25 PM | CBS
  • Week 11 Mon, Nov 23 (NE -5.5) vs Buffalo 8:30 PM | ESPN
  • Week 12 Sun, Nov 29 (NE +2.5) @ Denver 8:30 PM | NBC
  • Week 13 Sun, Dec 6 (NE -4) vs Philadelphia 4:25 PM | FOX
  • Week 14 Sun, Dec 13 (NE -1.5) @ Houston 1:00 PM | CBS
  • Week 15 Sun, Dec 20 (NE -10.5) vs Tennessee 1:00 PM | CBS
  • Week 16 Sun, Dec 27 (NE -4.5) @ New York Jets 1:00 PM | CBS
  • Week 17 Sun, Jan 3 @ Miami 1:00 PM | CBS

The New England Patriots have won the consecutive AFC East title since 2008, but this season they finally have real competition on all fronts with the Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills and New York Jets making improvements in the free agency; however, the Pats remain as the team to beat as they still have the best quarterback in the division league.

Connect With New England Patriots:

How To Bet The New England Patriots Futures: Win the AFC East but lose in the divisional round of the playoffs.

Sources:

http://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/nwe/
http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/teams/nwe/
http://espn.go.com/nfl/team/_/name/ne/new-england-patriots
http://www.nfl.com/teams/New%20England%20Patriots/profile?team=NE